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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2025 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31, 2026 | 100% | +58 pts | +39 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 31, 2026 | 100% | +12 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| June 30, 2026 | 100% | +30 pts | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 262d |  bamesjond | March 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 262d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,263 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 262d |  BNBNY | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,367 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 262d | Kevindoto | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,880 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 262d | bamesjond3 fills | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,716 | +$19 +0.2% | 4 |
| 262d | Kevindoto | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,241 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 262d | Trustinghorse | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,367 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 262d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer3 | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,948 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 262d | bamesjond | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | +$50 +4.8% | 4 |
| 262d | bamesjond | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,376 | +$193 +14% | 4 |
| 262d | hesitant | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,190 | +$24 +1.1% | 4 |
| 262d |  Rex416 | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$13 +1.2% | 4 |
| 296d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,511 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 306d |  TealV | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$44 +3.4% | 4 |
| 324d |  Extramile123 | December 31, 2025 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,133 | −$319 −10% | — |
| 327d | bamesjond | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$131 +12% | 4 |
| 485d |  Funfzig | December 31, 2025 | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $1,327 | −$1,327 −100% | 4 |
| 569d |  Car | December 31, 2025 | BuyYes84¢ → 0¢ | $3,900 | −$3,900 −100% | 4 |
| 569d | yuani | December 31, 2025 | SellYes81¢ → 0¢ | $1,087 | +$1,087 +100% | — |
TimeTraveler6,180 shares
Frosen1,934 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count. Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position. Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for December 31, 2025 means the market gives it about 0%.