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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 473d |  cambridgeisaac | Trump cuts taxes in 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,404 | −$10 −0.4% | — |
| 474d | applesandbananas | Trump cuts taxes in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,339 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 476d | BobbyB | Trump cuts taxes in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,552 | +$9 +0.6% | 4 |
| 579d | Improbable-Marshland | Trump cuts taxes in 2025? | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,869 | −$231 −12% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill is signed into law by Donald Trump that reduces or removes US federal taxes of any kind or renews/extends expiring tax cuts between March 11 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.