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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $20-25b | 100% | +57 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$5b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $5-10b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $10-15b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $15-20b | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $25-30b | 0% | −56 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $30-35b | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $35-40b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $40-45b | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $45-50b | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $50b+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 629d | fanta8s4 | $30-35b | SellNo>99¢ | $2,152 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 629d |  Daantje10K | $25-30b | SellNo>99¢ | $3,017 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 629d | Honey12345 | $15-20b | SellNo>99¢ | $1,132 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 630d | 0x627A0123bE | <$5b | SellNo>99¢ | $10,940 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 630d | astromage | $20-25b | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,633 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 630d | astromage | $15-20b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,608 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 630d | leiger | $15-20b | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,475 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 630d | cipherpilot | $20-25b | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,303 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 630d | Monster24 | $20-25b | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,942 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 630d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | $25-30b | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | −$13 −0.9% | — |
| 630d | snowss | $15-20b | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,010 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 630d | JSK030 | $20-25b | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,585 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 630d | kiritofi2 fills | $15-20b | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,484 | +$71 +0.4% | 2 |
| 630d | kiritofi2 fills | $20-25b | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,835 | +$63 +1.6% | 2 |
| 630d | kiritofi2 fills | $25-30b | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,204 | +$279 +3.9% | 2 |
| 630d | kiritofi | $30-35b | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,750 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 630d | PollyMarchev | $30-35b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,211 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 630d |  0xOreo | $15-20b | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,511 | −$122 −8.1% | — |
| 630d |  PhoenixWager | $20-25b | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,232 | +$88 +7.1% | 3 |
| 630d | Sialaaa | $35-40b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,399 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 630d | gh0ul | $5-10b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,898 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 630d | RandomJake | $5-10b | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 630d | AZwater | $30-35b | BuyNo100¢ | $2,488 | +$13 +0.5% | 2 |
| 630d | 0xOreo | $10-15b | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 630d | 0xOreo | $10-15b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,090 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 630d | Chairoikominer | $30-35b | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,290 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 630d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | $5-10b | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 631d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | $50b+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,044 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 631d |  Sergsky | $50b+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,432 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 631d | fire21s2 fills | $50b+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,103 | +$66 +1.6% | 2 |
| 632d |  Anjun | $15-20b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$10 +1.0% | 2 |
| 632d | cuta | <$5b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,114 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 633d | KamalaKaren | $50b+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,127 | +$32 +1.5% | 2 |
| 634d | Honey12345 | $15-20b | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,167 | +$115 +9.9% | 2 |
| 634d |  donjo | $5-10b | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | +$17 +1.5% | 2 |
| 634d | 0xOreo | $20-25b | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $1,560 | −$1,560 −100% | 2 |
| 635d | Venividivici3 fills | $50b+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,954 | +$163 +2.7% | 2 |
| 635d | ddongjoo | <$5b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | +$12 +0.8% | 2 |
| 635d | donjo | <$5b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 636d |  turtle911 | <$5b | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,843 | +$30 +1.6% | 2 |
| 637d | Fantaccio | $25-30b | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$249 +21% | 2 |
| 637d | fanta8s4 | $30-35b | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,841 | +$313 +17% | 2 |
| 637d | fanta8s4 | $50b+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,842 | −$52 −2.8% | — |
| 637d |  paleskin | <$5b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,754 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 637d | jaya2 | $45-50b | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,480 | +$108 +3.1% | 2 |
| 638d | Venividivici | $50b+ | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | −$83 −7.5% | — |
| 638d | 0xChainWizard2 fills | <$5b | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,402 | +$79 +2.3% | 2 |
| 639d | whfbjwh | $50b+ | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$116 +12% | 2 |
| 640d | Honey12345 | $50b+ | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | −$271 −25% | — |
| 640d |  mochiko | <$5b | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,526 | +$174 +3.8% | 2 |
| 640d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | $10-15b | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,111 | +$88 +4.2% | 2 |
| 640d | Solaiz | $10-15b | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,503 | +$182 +7.3% | 2 |
| 641d | onkiilllmr | <$5b | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,272 | +$39 +3.1% | 2 |
| 641d | Honey12345 | $50b+ | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,808 | +$860 +48% | 2 |
| 642d | degenxd | $50b+ | SellNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | −$681 −66% | — |
| 642d | degenxd | $50b+ | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$634 +59% | 2 |
| 642d | fanta8s4 | $50b+ | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,393 | +$501 +36% | 2 |
| 643d | yangeth | <$5b | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,398 | +$141 +4.1% | 2 |
| 643d | Sushihh | $50b+ | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,273 | +$502 +39% | 2 |
mango0x952 sharesThis is a market on the forecasted financial data valuation of Trump on February 1.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $20-25b means the market gives it about 100%.