PhoenixWager

Polymarket wallet 0xb3d7736055eefc5948890303e6410f755b6f7504 · on Polymarket since Aug 20, 2024 · also shown as Esteemed-Pumpernickel

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $7.92K
All-time profit: −$9.88K
Volume traded: $1.23M
All-time rank: #3,200,910
Markets traded: 1,283
Recent hit rate: 92%46 of last 50 closed

Open positions

28 markets · $7.92K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 68d	No	1,525	38¢ → 79¢	$1,197	+$610 +104%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 68d	No	1,200	79¢ → 78¢	$936	−$18 −1.9%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d	No	720	73¢ → 95¢	$681	+$152 +29%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	No	1,000	35¢ → 54¢	$535	+$183 +52%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 68d	No	571	88¢ → 92¢	$522	+$22 +4.4%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 67d	Yes	588	85¢ → 85¢	$502	+$2 +0.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d	No	579	44¢ → 82¢	$472	+$216 +84%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d	Yes	1,015	34¢ → 46¢	$465	+$119 +34%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	No	491	61¢ → 95¢	$464	+$164 +55%
Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 68d	No	393	82¢ → 86¢	$336	+$14 +4.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	No	330	91¢ → 98¢	$325	+$25 +8.2%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by December 31?Ends in 68d	No	333	90¢ → 95¢	$317	+$17 +5.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 72d	No	296	36¢ → 90¢	$266	+$159 +149%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Ends in 67d	No	277	72¢ → 78¢	$214	+$14 +7.2%
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	No	196	68¢ → 89¢	$173	+$40 +30%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 68d	No	204	65¢ → 84¢	$171	+$38 +28%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	No	205	62¢ → 83¢	$169	+$43 +34%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	176	85¢ → 63¢	$111	−$39 −26%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 72d	No	64	59¢ → 96¢	$62	+$24 +62%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Settled - ready to redeem	No	571	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$326 −100%
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	37	69¢ → 0¢	$0	−$26 −100%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?Settled - ready to redeem	No	363	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$108 −100%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	527	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	421	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$177 −100%
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 August 17-23?Settled - ready to redeem	No	279	72¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 17-23?Settled - ready to redeem	No	279	90¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Settled - ready to redeem	No	105	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?Settled - ready to redeem	No	120	91¢ → 0¢	$0	−$110 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
48d	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	BuyYes69¢	$26
48d	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?	SellNo>99¢	$110
48d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SellNo>99¢	$356
57d	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	BuyYes34¢	$243
57d	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	SellNo>99¢	$233
57d	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	BuyYes34¢	$113
65d	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?	BuyNo91¢	$111
65d	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 August 17-23?	BuyNo72¢	$51
65d	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 August 17-23?	BuyNo72¢	$51
65d	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 August 17-23?	BuyNo72¢	$102
65d	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 17-23?	BuyNo90¢	$50
65d	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 17-23?	BuyNo90¢	$201
72d	Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by December 31?	BuyNo90¢	$301
72d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	BuyNo93¢	$301
74d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	BuyNo45¢	$82
74d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	BuyNo44¢	$102
74d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	BuyNo67¢	$101
74d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 10 2026?	BuyNo92¢	$301
80d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026?	BuyNo92¢	$110
80d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	SellNo98¢	$107
80d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026?	BuyNo90¢	$311
80d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	SellYes>99¢	$311
81d	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	BuyNo84¢	$403
81d	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	BuyYes85¢	$500
81d	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	BuyYes82¢	$500
81d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	SellNo33¢	$109
81d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	SellNo69¢	$217
81d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	BuyYes97¢	$200
81d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	BuyYes96¢	$100
83d	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?	BuyNo91¢	$100
83d	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	BuyNo82¢	$200
83d	Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	BuyNo86¢	$200
83d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	BuyNo88¢	$500
83d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	BuyNo98¢	$300
84d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August?	BuyYes93¢	$95
84d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	BuyNo91¢	$201
85d	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	BuyNo93¢	$105
85d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?	SellNo>99¢	$107
85d	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	BuyNo92¢	$110
85d	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?	BuyNo86¢	$101
85d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?	SellNo>99¢	$211
85d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	BuyYes78¢	$68
85d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?	SellNo>99¢	$61
85d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BuyNo84¢	$140
85d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	BuyNo57¢	$61
85d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	SellNo>99¢	$206
85d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	BuyYes98¢	$105
85d	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?	SellNo>99¢	$106
85d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	BuyNo92¢	$100
85d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	BuyNo65¢	$88
85d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	BuyNo93¢	$30
85d	Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?	SellNo>99¢	$217
85d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	BuyNo65¢	$30
85d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	BuyNo64¢	$101
85d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	BuyNo91¢	$60
85d	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	BuyNo94¢	$15
85d	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?	SellNo>99¢	$208
89d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	BuyNo93¢	$100
89d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?	SellNo49¢	$92
89d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?	BuyNo98¢	$60

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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