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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 570d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Trump positive favorability on April 1? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,956 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 572d |  syncope | Trump positive favorability on April 1? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 577d |  Flipadelphia | Trump positive favorability on April 1? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,993 | +$32 +1.6% | 4 |
| 599d | 0x4e25…d7a72 fills | Trump positive favorability on April 1? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,348 | +$517 +12% | 4 |
| 628d |  WongKimArk | Trump positive favorability on April 1? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,317 | +$683 +21% | 4 |
| 628d | 828 | Trump positive favorability on April 1? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,277 | +$300 +23% | 4 |
| 628d |  peasant4 fills | Trump positive favorability on April 1? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $7,592 | +$2,165 +29% | 4 |
| 628d | Nobody23041 | Trump positive favorability on April 1? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$315 +27% | 4 |
| 639d | rfnoone | Trump positive favorability on April 1? | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $2,334 | −$2,334 −100% | 7 |
| 643d | semi | Trump positive favorability on April 1? | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $2,959 | +$2,143 +72% | 4 |
| 646d |  RememberAmalek | Trump positive favorability on April 1? | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $1,986 | −$1,986 −100% | 5 |
RememberAmalek5,938 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s favorable rating according to RealClearPolitics is higher than his unfavorable rating on April 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s favorable rating must be higher than his unfavorable rating for a “Yes” resolution; ties will not qualify. The resolution source will be RealClearPolitics’ Favorability Ratings poll aggregator, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/favorability/political-leaders, specifically the RCP average under the column labeled "Spread" checked at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the resolution date. The listed value as of the check time will be used to resolve this market regardless of the listed date range. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolitics calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.8%, -3.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.