Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −60 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 639d | Lalaf | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,332 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 640d | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,501 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 640d | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,176 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 640d | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,023 | +$159 +2.6% | 4 | |
| 640d | Kelk34 | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,895 | −$135 −7.1% | — |
| 640d | Kelk34 | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,928 | +$102 +5.3% | 4 |
| 640d | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,912 | +$310 +11% | 4 | |
| 640d | ImHereForTheRewards2 fills | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,283 | +$406 +12% | 4 |
| 640d | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $6,719 | +$1,186 +18% | 4 | |
| 640d | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,985 | +$351 +18% | 4 | |
| 640d | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,672 | +$918 +25% | 4 | |
| 641d | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | SellYes51¢ → 0¢ | $2,704 | +$2,704 +100% | — | |
| 641d | eNakeVets | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | SellYes73¢ → 0¢ | $1,030 | +$1,030 +100% | — |
| 641d | a1feg | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $2,031 | −$2,031 −100% | 4 |
| 641d | ImHereForTheRewards2 fills | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $2,843 | −$2,843 −100% | 4 |
| 641d | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | BuyYes66¢ → 0¢ | $3,342 | −$3,342 −100% | 4 | |
| 643d | singularityman | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $1,253 | −$1,253 −100% | 9 |
| 644d | Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first? | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 9 |
30,635,000 million people tuned in to watch the first inauguration of Donald Trump as the 45th president of the United States on January 20, 2017 (see: https://www.nielsen.com/insights/2017/nearly-31-million-americans-watch-president-donald-trumps-inauguration/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's second inauguration has more than 30,635,000 viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.