| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 19,290 | 56¢ → 89¢ | $17,071 | +$6,200 +57% |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 2,687 | 74¢ → 64¢ | $1,720 | −$258 −13% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | Yes | 1,914 | 72¢ → 84¢ | $1,598 | +$215 +16% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 1,499 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $1,482 | +$118 +8.6% |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Ends in 69d | No | 1,550 | 46¢ → 84¢ | $1,302 | +$582 +81% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $960 | +$182 +23% |
| Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 807 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $784 | +$57 +7.9% |
| Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?Ends ended | No | 725 | 75¢ → 94¢ | $678 | +$135 +25% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 1,784 | 31¢ → 35¢ | $624 | +$80 +15% |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,025 | 11¢ → 21¢ | $620 | +$273 +79% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 671 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $614 | +$62 +11% |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 612 | 73¢ → 99¢ | $603 | +$155 +35% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 577 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $470 | +$13 +2.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 759 | 20¢ → 54¢ | $406 | +$256 +171% |
| Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 85d | No | 501 | 63¢ → 76¢ | $380 | +$63 +20% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 577 | 75¢ → 65¢ | $372 | −$61 −14% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,401 | 45¢ → 16¢ | $372 | −$708 −66% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 436 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $349 | −$13 −3.6% |
| Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?Ends in 11d | No | 427 | 39¢ → 79¢ | $337 | +$171 +103% |
| Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 349 | 35¢ → 96¢ | $336 | +$213 +174% |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | No | 335 | 74¢ → 95¢ | $317 | +$70 +28% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 342 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $273 | −$10 −3.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 384 | 82¢ → 70¢ | $269 | −$46 −15% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 55% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 261 | 78¢ → 99¢ | $259 | +$54 +26% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 283 | 14¢ → 87¢ | $246 | +$207 +521% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 50%-55%?Ends in 11d | No | 248 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $233 | +$17 +7.9% |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 15d | No | 391 | 31¢ → 59¢ | $229 | +$106 +86% |
| Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 370 | 47¢ → 61¢ | $224 | +$52 +30% |
| Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?Ends in 23d | No | 1,234 | 22¢ → 18¢ | $222 | −$51 −19% |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,286 | 15¢ → 9¢ | $194 | −$150 −43% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 192 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $185 | +$27 +17% |
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 215 | 52¢ → 84¢ | $181 | +$69 +62% |
| Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,713 | 10¢ → 11¢ | $180 | +$16 +9.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 384 | 42¢ → 47¢ | $179 | +$19 +12% |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 85d | Yes | 255 | 57¢ → 69¢ | $175 | +$30 +21% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 250d | Yes | 334 | 75¢ → 51¢ | $170 | −$79 −32% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 18% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 168 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $164 | +$20 +14% |
| Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 162 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $158 | +$26 +20% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-08 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 158 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $153 | +$25 +19% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 55% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 158 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $152 | +$23 +18% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be 1,400,000 or more?Ends in 11d | No | 154 | 80¢ → 93¢ | $144 | +$21 +17% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,996 | 14¢ → 7¢ | $132 | −$140 −52% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 856 | 27¢ → 15¢ | $128 | −$103 −45% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 44¢ → 55¢ | $109 | +$21 +24% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 115 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $105 | +$9 +9.6% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?Ends in 11d | No | 128 | 56¢ → 79¢ | $101 | +$29 +40% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 154 | 41¢ → 64¢ | $99 | +$35 +56% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | No | 468 | 82¢ → 21¢ | $96 | −$287 −75% |
| Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 89d | No | 100 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$8 +9.5% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 115 | 58¢ → 75¢ | $86 | +$19 +29% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 405 | 38¢ → 20¢ | $81 | −$72 −47% |
| Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 250d | Yes | 328 | 47¢ → 24¢ | $79 | −$77 −49% |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 314 | 11¢ → 25¢ | $77 | +$41 +114% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 732 | 15¢ → 11¢ | $77 | −$31 −29% |
| Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?Ends in 11d | No | 164 | 78¢ → 45¢ | $73 | −$55 −43% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 467 | 15¢ → 15¢ | $70 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 89d | No | 77 | 50¢ → 86¢ | $66 | +$28 +72% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 294 | 20¢ → 22¢ | $65 | +$7 +12% |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 250d | Yes | 439 | 47¢ → 15¢ | $64 | −$143 −69% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 60 | 75¢ → 97¢ | $58 | +$13 +30% |
| Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 57 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $55 | +$4 +7.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 56¢ → 53¢ | $53 | −$3 −5.4% |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 179 | 48¢ → 28¢ | $49 | −$36 −42% |
| Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 11d | Yes | 187 | 34¢ → 24¢ | $44 | −$19 −31% |
| Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 279 | 27¢ → 16¢ | $43 | −$32 −43% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 48 | 71¢ → 87¢ | $41 | +$7 +22% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 279 | 31¢ → 14¢ | $40 | −$47 −54% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 18% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 40 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $39 | +$5 +16% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 254 | 11¢ → 15¢ | $38 | +$11 +42% |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 299 | 4¢ → 12¢ | $35 | +$24 +207% |
| Will Republicans sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 370 | 25¢ → 10¢ | $35 | −$57 −62% |
| Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 264 | 22¢ → 13¢ | $34 | −$25 −42% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 55 | 0¢ → 62¢ | $34 | +$34 +0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 12%-15%?Ends in 11d | No | 40 | 89¢ → 84¢ | $34 | −$2 −5.2% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 633 | 11¢ → 5¢ | $32 | −$40 −55% |
| Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Ends in 11d | No | 1,093 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $31 | +$6 +21% |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 837 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $27 | −$55 −67% |
| Will the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?Ends in 85d | Yes | 304 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $27 | −$7 −20% |
| Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 70d | Yes | 308 | 16¢ → 7¢ | $21 | −$28 −57% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 6% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 126 | 14¢ → 16¢ | $19 | +$2 +10.0% |
| Will Minerva Torres Shelton win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 730 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $19 | +$3 +18% |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 173 | 33¢ → 11¢ | $19 | −$38 −67% |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Ends in 69d | No | 1,189 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $18 | −$28 −60% |
| Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 228 | 16¢ → 8¢ | $17 | −$19 −53% |
| Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 61 | 7¢ → 27¢ | $17 | +$12 +286% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 192 | 17¢ → 9¢ | $16 | −$16 −49% |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 71¢ → 92¢ | $15 | +$3 +29% |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 153 | 16¢ → 9¢ | $14 | −$11 −44% |
| Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 70d | Yes | 231 | 46¢ → 6¢ | $13 | −$93 −88% |
| Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 23¢ → 40¢ | $12 | +$5 +70% |
| Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 70d | Yes | 64 | 29¢ → 8¢ | $5 | −$14 −74% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 187 | 13¢ → 3¢ | $5 | −$20 −81% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 166 | 32¢ → 3¢ | $5 | −$49 −92% |
| Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 357 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$12 −75% |
| Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 72 | 13¢ → 6¢ | $4 | −$5 −58% |
| Will Republicans win the Michigan Governor election and Democrats win the Michigan Senate election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 125 | 74¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$90 −97% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 45%-50%?Ends in 11d | No | 3 | 60¢ → 83¢ | $2 | +$1 +38% |
| Will Concepción Sánchez González win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 802 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$2 −50% |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 693 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$82 −100% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,538 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$468 −100% |
