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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 718d |  50Whence2 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,439 | +$66 +0.5% | 20 |
| 719d | tsekinming01 | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo>99¢ | $10,157 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 721d | tsekinming012 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,960 | +$100 +0.4% | 20 |
| 721d |  Donkov | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,230 | +$19 +0.9% | 20 |
| 730d | GummiMummi2 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $35,304 | +$306 +0.9% | 20 |
| 734d | 0xfe91…70ff2 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,831 | −$210 −7.4% | — |
| 736d |  Anjun | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,639 | +$104 +1.4% | 20 |
| 736d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,339 | −$78 −2.3% | — |
| 737d | GummiMummi | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $24,566 | −$434 −1.8% | — |
| 738d |  Car3 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,786 | −$179 −1.5% | — |
| 743d | Car3 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,681 | +$246 +2.5% | 20 |
| 745d |  horatio | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | −$17 −1.3% | — |
| 751d | anon-858 | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,975 | −$29 −1.5% | — |
| 752d |  LBZcapital | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 752d | hexamesh | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,671 | −$52 −1.4% | — |
| 752d | hexamesh | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,089 | +$32 +1.0% | 20 |
| 768d | Miracle0072 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | −$59 −2.0% | — |
| 771d | Folletin | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,254 | −$46 −2.0% | — |
| 772d | 0xfbd | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | −$25 −1.8% | — |
| 774d | anon1565 | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,714 | −$163 −1.9% | — |
| 776d | Champ | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,579 | −$23 −0.9% | — |
| 777d |  ImJustKen5 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $49,656 | +$8,641 +17% | 20 |
| 778d | fkarasek | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyYes14¢ → 0¢ | $1,095 | −$1,095 −100% | 21 |
| 779d |  just.some.guy | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,930 | −$288 −15% | — |
| 779d | anon1565 | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,302 | +$344 +15% | 20 |
| 779d | Folletin | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,548 | +$252 +16% | 20 |
| 780d | Conduit22 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $9,994 | −$1,854 −19% | — |
| 782d |  0xloren | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | −$300 −18% | — |
| 784d | chph1988 | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyYes14¢ → 0¢ | $2,910 | −$2,910 −100% | 27 |
| 785d | just.some.guy | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,936 | +$264 +14% | 20 |
| 788d | Champ3 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $25,648 | +$3,258 +13% | 20 |
| 790d | lug | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,961 | +$319 +16% | 20 |
| 791d | Conduit22 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $9,986 | +$1,861 +19% | 20 |
| 795d | 0xfe91…70ff | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | +$195 +18% | 20 |
| 796d | 0xfbd | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$241 +20% | 20 |
| 798d |  BustedCungly | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,772 | +$363 +20% | 20 |
| 798d | anon-858 | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,643 | +$361 +22% | 20 |
| 798d | agggr | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,330 | +$333 +25% | 20 |
| 800d |  sigh | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$241 +20% | 20 |
| 809d | Chad-Wasp | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,885 | −$414 −22% | — |
| 812d | ALevinson | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$238 +22% | 20 |
| 823d | Nobody230412 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,695 | −$615 −23% | — |
| 844d | Nobody23041 | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | +$463 +28% | 20 |
| 864d | SitsToPee | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,699 | −$799 −30% | — |
| 875d | ImJustKen2 fills | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $2,284 | −$2,284 −100% | 25 |
| 875d | Chad-Wasp | Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,767 | +$607 +22% | 20 |
Sniper1231,457 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for convictions in the hush money case "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered before November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution will be based on the initial sentencing rendered in this case, regardless of any subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. This market will resolve based on the first sentencing rendered in this case, regardless of later appeals, etc.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.