Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 384d | MariaLo5 fills | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $69,930 | −$70 −0.1% | — |
| 384d |  Jellow2 | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 385d |  scout | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 385d |  0x46E29dcb9cD03B9f39bf5Bf7759b07ea280EF | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 385d | djdjdj | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,513 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 385d |  ComingBack | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,072 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 385d |  SCHIZO-RELAY-PAYS-ME | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,426 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 385d |  Infringe | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,596 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 385d |  johnnyA | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 385d | neverforgetmymistakes | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 385d | lasso | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $37,862 | +$38 +0.1% | 20 |
| 385d | RandomJake | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,418 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 385d | MashedPotato | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 385d |  aenews24 fills | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $90,088 | +$1,577 +1.7% | 20 |
| 385d |  bosshog | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 385d | pokgaikid | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,585 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 386d | sleepin | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,291 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 386d |  UPSTAGE | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,111 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 386d | sir3829 | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,939 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 386d | MariaLo2 fills | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,901 | +$24 +0.3% | 20 |
| 386d |  Burnmoneyuser | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,947 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 386d | Infringe | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,896 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 386d |  Totenkopf | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,103 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 386d |  ChoosePoverty | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,211 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 386d | stealer | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,498 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 386d |  JoachimPeiper | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,266 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 386d |  swimmingtoriches | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,031 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 386d | Anonretard | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,049 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 386d |  SnitchingRat | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,076 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 386d |  elon2000 | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 386d | PainStealer | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,529 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 386d |  4threich | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 386d |  0xRacist | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,130 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 386d | 100x3 fills | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $59,880 | +$120 +0.2% | 20 |
| 386d |  Flipadelphia | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $128,202 | +$386 +0.3% | 20 |
| 386d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C292 fills | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,920 | +$80 +0.3% | 20 |
| 386d |  tourists2 fills | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $11,243 | +$497 +4.4% | 20 |
| 386d |  DickTurbin | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,503 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 386d |  Oompa-Loompa2 fills | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,960 | +$40 +0.2% | 20 |
| 386d | scout | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,497 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 386d | alliswell | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,917 | +$36 +0.2% | 20 |
| 386d |  SQP3G | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,137 | +$16 +0.2% | 20 |
| 386d |  Debosnys2 fills | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,632 | +$37 +0.2% | 20 |
| 386d | This-EspadrilleNew account | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 35 |
| 386d | RobertoRubio | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,970 | +$30 +0.1% | 20 |
| 386d |  ScottyNooo9 fills | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $133,566 | +$17,562 +13% | 20 |
| 386d | 0330330338 fills | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $462,981 | +$710 +0.2% | 20 |
| 386d | EnzoFabi | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,140 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 386d | affs20791 | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,979 | −$21 −0.3% | — |
| 386d |  Serega-pro | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,341 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 387d |  dgb35 | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,234 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 387d |  iForgor2 fills | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $10,928 | −$27 −0.3% | — |
| 387d | Slight-Radiosonde | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,535 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 387d | CiderApple | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,851 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 387d | AvishaiBass | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,050 | −$12 −0.3% | — |
| 387d |  Slowroasted | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,389 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 387d |  Optimus- | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,719 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 387d |  White.Monster | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 388d | Simon4s | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,072 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 388d |  Car | Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,970 | −$30 −0.3% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US armed forces conduct a strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target in the North Western hemisphere between September 16 and September 30, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.