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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump dances | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump signs an executive order | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump wears a red tie | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump says "Sleepy Joe" | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump talks to Xi Jinping | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178d | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $125,692 | −$130 −0.1% | — | |
| 178d | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 178d | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $49,950 | −$50 −0.1% | — | |
| 178d | phantomsc5 fills | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $89,910 | −$90 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $6,013 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 178d | 🐥🥚🐣 | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $3,059 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — | |
| 178d | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 178d | Ordon | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $29,970 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $34,965 | −$35 −0.1% | — | |
| 178d | zine13 | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $13,699 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | LordofPM2 fills | Trump dances | BuyYes>99¢ | $32,134 | +$76 +0.2% | 4 |
| 178d | bearbees2 | Trump dances | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,377 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 178d | 🐥🥚🐣 | Trump dances | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 178d | texture | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $9,485 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 178d | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $5,090 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 178d | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $49,950 | −$50 −0.1% | — | |
| 178d | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $127,224 | −$127 −0.1% | — | |
| 178d | Trump dances | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | +$250 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 178d | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $1,997 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 178d | Trump dances | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,545 | −$66 −0.6% | — | |
| 178d | 1walrus | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 179d | 0x7e6b…e3c5 | Trump dances | BuyYes>99¢ | $259,077 | +$259 +0.1% | 4 |
| 179d | SimonaMagic100 | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $1,388 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 179d | zine132 fills | Trump dances | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,699 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 179d | Trump dances | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,679 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 179d | Trump dances | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,091 | +$28 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 179d | Trump dances | SellYes>99¢ | $2,048 | −$6 −0.3% | — | |
| 179d | EP102 fills | Trump dances | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,500 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 179d | perroperro2 fills | Trump dances | BuyYes>99¢ | $46,510 | +$113 +0.2% | 4 |
| 179d | Trump dances | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,766 | +$40 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 179d | VikoVikoViko | Trump dances | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,255 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 179d | RacistUser | Trump dances | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,718 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 179d | Trump dances | BuyYes>99¢ | $76,219 | +$319 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 180d | Trump dances | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,986 | +$30 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 180d | Trustinghorse | Trump dances | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 180d | Trump dances | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $24,694 | +$227 +0.9% | 4 | |
| 180d | d-flow | Trump signs an executive order | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,897 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 181d | Mature-Gene | Trump dances | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,591 | +$207 +13% | 4 |
| 181d | Trump dances | BuyNo>99¢ → 0¢ | $1,648 | −$1,648 −100% | 4 |
This is a market over what Donald Trump will do on April 25, 2026.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Trump dances means the market gives it about 100%.