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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630d |  Apsalar | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo>99¢ | $20,835 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 630d |  DuduAI2 fills | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,625 | +$78 +0.7% | 20 |
| 631d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly4 fills | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $68,038 | +$943 +1.4% | 20 |
| 631d |  SerGamblesalot | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,192 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 632d |  elmcap23 fills | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo>99¢ | $40,600 | +$199 +0.5% | 20 |
| 632d |  LinaBell | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,493 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 |
| 632d | Qtyu | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,280 | +$38 +0.7% | 20 |
| 632d | SerGamblesalot | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$10 +0.8% | 20 |
| 633d | RobXK | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,575 | +$137 +1.0% | 20 |
| 633d |  bosshog | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 634d |  MMousse8 fills | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $32,593 | −$698 −2.1% | — |
| 634d | Orion962 fills | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,399 | −$72 −3.0% | — |
| 634d |  TaylorSchifff | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 20 |
| 635d | ForestElk | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $25,062 | +$253 +1.0% | 20 |
| 635d |  Skip-Earthwax2 fills | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$444 +11% | 20 |
| 635d |  studmuffin69692 fills | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 20 |
| 635d |  Mester | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 20 |
| 640d | Trump20282 fills | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,630 | +$106 +1.6% | 20 |
| 640d |  debased2 fills | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,445 | −$167 −3.1% | — |
| 641d |  SPMontreal3 fills | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$299 +6.2% | 20 |
| 641d | 38zhuzhu | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | −$42 −2.9% | — |
| 641d | debased | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,447 | +$81 +3.3% | 20 |
| 642d | 38zhuzhu | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,449 | +$48 +3.3% | 20 |
| 643d |  Slowroasted | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,904 | −$65 −2.2% | — |
| 644d | ExhaustedBoyBilly5 fills | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $38,371 | −$1,539 −4.0% | — |
| 644d | SPMontreal2 fills | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,551 | −$96 −3.8% | — |
| 645d | Slowroasted | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,964 | +$36 +1.2% | 20 |
| 645d |  0x34a9...d74cfd | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | −$17 −1.6% | — |
| 645d | Lisbon | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$18 +1.5% | 20 |
| 647d |  RememberAmalek | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,619 | +$236 +1.7% | 20 |
| 649d | Kilocap | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,449 | −$185 −2.0% | — |
| 651d | dsplyname | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$13 +1.3% | 20 |
| 658d | BigFatO | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,477 | −$39 −2.7% | — |
| 662d | MMousse12 fills | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $48,890 | +$2,469 +5.1% | 20 |
| 664d | xhl-661 | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | +$36 +2.9% | 20 |
| 665d | MerchantHedgehog | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | −$36 −3.0% | — |
| 670d | studmuffin69692 fills | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,684 | −$188 −5.1% | — |
| 670d | RememberAmalek | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,341 | −$162 −3.7% | — |
| 681d | SteepStork88112 fills | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $57,771 | +$4,717 +8.2% | 20 |
| 681d | SteepStork8815 fills | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $18,058 | −$1,442 −8.0% | — |
| 682d | Vain-Decrease | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,881 | −$243 −6.3% | — |
| 685d | MisterToast | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyYes6¢ → 0¢ | $1,178 | −$1,178 −100% | 21 |
| 690d |  50Whence | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,995 | −$116 −5.8% | — |
| 691d | CaptainAhab-935 | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,901 | −$111 −5.8% | — |
| 692d | Skip-Earthwax | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,102 | −$120 −5.7% | — |
| 694d | Fisher-Johnson | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | −$64 −5.6% | — |
| 695d |  ANudeEgg | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,228 | −$117 −5.3% | — |
| 695d |  ARudeEgg | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $19,004 | −$978 −5.1% | — |
| 701d | ldlc38 | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | −$70 −6.3% | — |
| 703d | Cyb3rpunk | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,322 | −$192 −8.3% | — |
| 703d | 0x2370…0e10 | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,585 | −$208 −8.0% | — |
| 703d | Idontwantausername | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,995 | −$315 −7.9% | — |
| 707d | CaptainAhab-935 | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,265 | +$103 +8.1% | 20 |
| 707d |  flamingfish | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,769 | −$131 −7.4% | — |
| 707d | KTI55 | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,992 | −$154 −5.2% | — |
| 707d |  willis11112 fills | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,983 | −$154 −5.1% | — |
| 707d | codingbeans | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | −$61 −5.2% | — |
| 707d |  fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,731 | −$87 −5.0% | — |
| 708d | anonymousfish123 | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,423 | −$99 −6.9% | — |
| 709d | milouf | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,266 | −$101 −8.0% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and nominates Elon Musk for a Cabinet position by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election. A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.