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Polymarket wallet 0x45abc1e55f892a8b8b66ca06a4b94f026e052551 · on Polymarket since Oct 27, 2024 · also shown as Well-Lit-Ford
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 471 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13,263 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 498 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,407 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,317 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will ECB make no change in interest rates in January 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,847 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 220d | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | BuyYes14¢ | $20 |
| 625d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $30 |
| 627d | Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday? | SellNo90¢ | $31 |
| 629d | Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday? | BuyNo61¢ | $21 |
| 632d | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyYes<1¢ | $20 |
| 632d | Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes4¢ | $20 |
| 632d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $20 |
| 632d | Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyYes4¢ | $20 |
| 633d | Will ECB make no change in interest rates in January 2025? | BuyYes3¢ | $50 |
| 638d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.