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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 694d | Nahhhhhh | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska99¢ → 100¢ | $3,417 | +$35 +1.0% | 4 |
| 696d | Cool600 | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska98¢ → 100¢ | $2,056 | −$49 −2.4% | — |
| 697d |  elmcap24 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska96¢ → 100¢ | $24,469 | +$984 +4.0% | 4 |
| 697d | Vilgefortz4 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska69¢ → 100¢ | $7,779 | −$3,567 −46% | — |
| 697d | blablabla-1684 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska96¢ → 100¢ | $11,847 | −$532 −4.5% | — |
| 697d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska98¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | −$25 −2.0% | — |
| 698d | dazzling7575 | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska94¢ → 100¢ | $1,303 | −$78 −6.0% | — |
| 702d | B08V2 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska95¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | −$133 −5.8% | — |
| 702d | pistachios | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska97¢ → 100¢ | $1,226 | −$42 −3.4% | — |
| 702d |  Fortuna777 | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska93¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | −$72 −7.1% | — |
| 702d | JohnAdams543213 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska86¢ → 100¢ | $5,200 | +$824 +16% | 4 |
| 702d |  mona.lisa | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska38¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$3,223 +161% | 6 |
| 702d | blablabla-168 | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyFlorida87¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 4 |
| 703d | PrinceHal3 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyFlorida38¢ → 0¢ | $4,618 | −$4,618 −100% | 9 |
| 703d |  vocifer3 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyFlorida39¢ → 0¢ | $6,566 | −$6,566 −100% | 13 |
| 703d | mep | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyFlorida21¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 4 |
| 703d | blablabla-1683 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska71¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$3,243 +41% | 4 |
| 703d | OPMSucks | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellFlorida82¢ → 0¢ | $1,640 | +$1,640 +100% | — |
| 703d | DumbMoney12 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellFlorida92¢ → 0¢ | $9,608 | +$9,608 +100% | — |
| 703d | PrinceHal2 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellFlorida82¢ → 0¢ | $6,878 | +$6,878 +100% | — |
| 704d |  Mr-Yolos | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska61¢ → 100¢ | $1,567 | +$1,002 +64% | 4 |
| 704d | Vilgefortz2 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska94¢ → 100¢ | $6,982 | +$485 +7.0% | 4 |
| 706d | JJMORSON | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska94¢ → 100¢ | $1,670 | −$104 −6.2% | — |
| 707d | Cooperative-Takeover2 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska95¢ → 100¢ | $3,636 | −$190 −5.2% | — |
| 708d |  tiktok-tumoulin | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska93¢ → 100¢ | $2,739 | −$206 −7.5% | — |
| 708d | goofy88 | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska93¢ → 100¢ | $4,682 | −$330 −7.1% | — |
| 708d | Cooperative-Takeover2 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska92¢ → 100¢ | $2,755 | +$229 +8.3% | 4 |
| 708d | Pooooou | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska94¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | −$67 −6.4% | — |
| 709d |  SPMontreal2 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska90¢ → 100¢ | $2,148 | +$249 +12% | 4 |
| 709d | Wasteful-Clockwork2 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska81¢ → 100¢ | $3,584 | −$867 −24% | — |
| 709d | upp | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska85¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | −$194 −18% | — |
| 710d | 5TudorDivers | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska63¢ → 100¢ | $4,674 | −$2,784 −60% | — |
| 711d | Wasteful-Clockwork | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska83¢ → 100¢ | $3,681 | +$770 +21% | 4 |
| 712d | D42d | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska81¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$278 +24% | 4 |
| 712d |  Algo277 | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska75¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | −$337 −33% | — |
| 712d | D.J.Pump3 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska83¢ → 100¢ | $8,354 | +$1,721 +21% | 4 |
| 712d | operationcastle | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyFlorida17¢ → 0¢ | $3,226 | −$3,226 −100% | 11 |
| 712d | Ronaldo2100 | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska83¢ → 100¢ | $2,075 | −$425 −20% | — |
| 712d | Jason.Xu | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska71¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | −$431 −40% | — |
| 713d | Jason.Xu | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska80¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | +$296 +24% | 4 |
| 713d |  muehehhehe | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska78¢ → 100¢ | $2,423 | −$690 −28% | — |
| 713d | Roesy-918 | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska89¢ → 100¢ | $4,155 | −$517 −12% | — |
| 713d |  SexPistols | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska89¢ → 100¢ | $4,861 | +$601 +12% | 4 |
| 714d | Roesy-9182 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska65¢ → 100¢ | $4,999 | +$2,639 +53% | 4 |
| 714d | GoingGangrene | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska81¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | +$293 +23% | 4 |
| 714d | Jjmmooo | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska80¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | −$480 −25% | — |
| 715d | 5TudorDivers | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska83¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$617 +21% | 4 |
| 715d | PQL | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$250 +25% | 4 |
| 715d | 0x6217Da05BC | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska80¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | +$298 +25% | 4 |
| 715d | operationcastle | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellFlorida21¢ → 0¢ | $1,233 | +$1,233 +100% | — |
| 715d | Jjmmooo2 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska79¢ → 100¢ | $3,371 | +$919 +27% | 4 |
| 715d | cryptojin | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska76¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$634 +32% | 4 |
| 715d | FlowingwiththeWind | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska80¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$269 +25% | 4 |
| 715d | ddyypo | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska73¢ → 100¢ | $1,394 | +$507 +36% | 4 |
| 715d | Viper233333333 | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska58¢ → 100¢ | $4,476 | −$3,282 −73% | — |
| 716d | capital-148 | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyFlorida53¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 716d | 0m0 | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska78¢ → 100¢ | $6,107 | +$1,772 +29% | 4 |
| 716d |  meowinglion | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | SellAlaska77¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | −$345 −30% | — |
| 716d | meowinglion2 fills | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska74¢ → 100¢ | $5,996 | +$2,093 +35% | 4 |
| 716d | tiktok-tumoulin | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska93¢ → 100¢ | $2,725 | +$220 +8.1% | 4 |
vgauther1 sharesThis market will resolve to "Florida” if Donald Trump's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Florida is higher than his margin of victory winning the popular vote in Alaska in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve to "Alaska” if Donald Trump's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Alaska is higher than his margin of victory winning the popular vote in Florida in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes received by each Donald Trump and the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in Florida and Alaska each for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. If Donald Trump loses both states, this market will resolve based off the state in which he had a smaller margin of defeat between himself and the first place candidate. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once both relevant states have certified the vote. If a recount is initiated in either state before certification, this market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.