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Polymarket wallet 0x4bde5a00114488ecf9deccc0223f9432b1201754 · on Polymarket since Oct 19, 2024 · also shown as Obvious-Caftan
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?Settled - ready to redeem | Alaska | 61 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $61 | +$9 +18% |
| Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 79 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$71 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 715d | Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates? | BuyNo90¢ | $71 |
| 715d | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska85¢ | $52 |
| 724d | Carabao Cup: Preston North End vs. Arsenal | BuyArsenal88¢ | $106 |
| 726d | Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $45-53m opening weekend? | BuyYes99¢ | $44 |
| 734d | September temperature increase by between 1.17-1.22°C? | SellYes7¢ | $36 |
| 735d | Will another party win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 735d | Will the Conservatives win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election? | BuyYes34¢ | $30 |
| 735d | Will BC NDP win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election? | BuyYes78¢ | $50 |
| 735d | September temperature increase by between 1.17-1.22°C? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 735d | Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025? | SellYes16¢ | $65 |
| 735d | Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025? | BuyYes17¢ | $70 |
| 735d | Who will win white women? | SellHarris33¢ | $97 |
| 735d | Who will win white women? | BuyHarris35¢ | $102 |
| 735d | Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.