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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.5–12m | 100% | 0 pts | +91 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <9m | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 9–9.5m | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 9.5–10m | 0% | — | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10–10.5m | 0% | — | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10.5–11m | 0% | — | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 11–11.5m | 0% | — | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 12m+ | 0% | 0 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 521d | 11.5–12m | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,196 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 521d | tsekinming01 | 11.5–12m | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,106 | +$19 +0.1% | 10 |
| 521d | haohua2 fills | 11.5–12m | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,127 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 521d | 11.5–12m | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,359 | +$139 +4.1% | 10 | |
| 522d | 11.5–12m | SellYes>99¢ | $4,080 | −$12 −0.3% | — | |
| 523d | greatwolf | <9m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,125 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 523d | 11.5–12m | SellYes100¢ | $1,589 | −$8 −0.5% | — | |
| 523d | A69420 | 11.5–12m | SellYes>99¢ | $3,895 | −$16 −0.4% | — |
| 523d | cringetho | 11.5–12m | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,034 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 523d | 11.5–12m | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,332 | +$14 +0.3% | 10 | |
| 523d | papahagi | 11.5–12m | SellYes>99¢ | $1,283 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 523d | alex5624 fills | 11.5–12m | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,136 | +$195 +2.7% | 10 |
| 523d | A69420 | 11.5–12m | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,903 | +$8 +0.2% | 10 |
| 523d | IONUT | 12m+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,151 | −$24 −0.8% | — |
| 523d | dmark81 | 12m+ | SellNo>99¢ | $3,694 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 523d | 11.5–12m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,020 | +$5 +0.5% | 10 | |
| 523d | 11.5–12m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,797 | +$18 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 523d | ElDiablo6 | 11.5–12m | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,665 | −$39 −2.3% | — |
| 523d | 9.5–10m | SellNo>99¢ | $4,159 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 524d | ZiffCzr | 11.5–12m | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,648 | −$55 −3.3% | — |
| 524d | 11.5–12m | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,294 | −$67 −2.9% | — | |
| 524d | nonkenny90 | 10.5–11m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,798 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 524d | Amahara | 11.5–12m | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | −$39 −3.8% | — |
| 524d | dmark812 fills | 11–11.5m | SellNo>99¢ | $3,837 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 524d | dmark814 fills | 11.5–12m | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $9,869 | +$415 +4.2% | 10 |
| 524d | dmark81 | 10.5–11m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,021 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 524d | SwingsofTrend | 12m+ | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$67 +4.2% | 10 |
| 524d | 11.5–12m | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | +$158 +7.9% | 10 | |
| 524d | 12m+ | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,908 | +$159 +8.4% | 10 | |
| 524d | 11–11.5m | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $11,250 | +$750 +6.7% | 10 | |
| 524d | 12m+ | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,425 | −$144 −6.0% | — | |
| 524d | popicamitica | 11.5–12m | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | −$52 −4.9% | — |
| 524d | 0xe018870d | 12m+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | −$38 −3.1% | — |
| 524d | lava-lava | 11.5–12m | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,165 | +$295 +14% | 10 |
| 524d | Lask888 | 11.5–12m | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $5,083 | −$1,426 −28% | — |
| 524d | cigarettes | 11–11.5m | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,586 | +$235 +15% | 10 |
| 524d | Sayek | 12m+ | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,755 | −$132 −7.5% | — |
| 524d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac862 fills | 11–11.5m | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $7,084 | +$1,041 +15% | 10 |
| 524d | Milmoi | 12m+ | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | −$88 −7.4% | — |
| 524d | 9.5–10m | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,531 | +$17 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 524d | 9.5–10m | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,723 | +$38 +0.4% | 10 | |
| 524d | Lask888 | 12m+ | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,888 | −$734 −39% | — |
| 524d | alex562 | 11–11.5m | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | +$160 +13% | 10 |
| 524d | <9m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,300 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 524d | dmark812 fills | 10.5–11m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,052 | +$48 +1.6% | 11 |
| 524d | almost-never | 12m+ | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $4,539 | −$1,936 −43% | — |
| 524d | Bombarda | 12m+ | SellYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,710 | +$1,710 +100% | — |
| 524d | 12m+ | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $9,727 | −$9,727 −100% | 20 | |
| 524d | Crock95 | 10.5–11m | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,359 | +$130 +9.6% | 10 |
| 524d | 12m+ | SellYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,743 | +$1,743 +100% | — | |
| 524d | 12m+ | SellYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,864 | +$1,864 +100% | — | |
| 524d | whynot2025 | 12m+ | SellYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | +$1,400 +100% | — |
| 524d | 9–9.5m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,328 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 | |
| 524d | Bombarda | 12m+ | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,133 | −$1,133 −100% | 10 |
| 524d | Crock95 | 12m+ | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,722 | −$1,722 −100% | 10 |
| 524d | lava-lava3 fills | 12m+ | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $6,708 | −$6,708 −100% | 17 |
| 524d | dmark81 | 11–11.5m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,467 | +$33 +1.3% | 10 |
| 524d | almost-never | 12m+ | BuyNo20¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$4,000 +400% | 10 |
| 524d | JustTrading | 12m+ | SellYes83¢ → 0¢ | $6,202 | +$6,202 +100% | — |
| 524d | <9m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,860 | +$11 +0.4% | 10 |
The 2025 Romanian presidential election runoff will be held on May 18 to determine the next President of Romania. This market will resolve based on the number of votes cast in the second round of the 2025 Romanian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Validated Results of the election, as confirmed by Romania’s Constitutional Court and published by the Permanent Electoral Authority (Autoritatea Electorală Permanentă, AEP) and the Central Electoral Bureau (Biroul Electoral Central, BEC) (see: https://prezenta.roaep.ro/). If these results are contested or otherwise unreleased, this market will remain open until official voting results are validated and published by the Constitutional Court.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 11.5–12m means the market gives it about 100%.