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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2–1.5M | 100% | +2 pts | +3 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| <0.6M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0.6–0.9M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0.9–1.2M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.5–1.8M | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.8–2.1M | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2.1–2.4M | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2.4–2.7M | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 2.7M+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133d | thcdmz | 1.8–2.1M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,145 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 133d | thcdmz | 1.5–1.8M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,259 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 133d |  aenews2 | 1.2–1.5M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,806 | +$11 +0.6% | 10 |
| 144d |  tomatosauce2 | 1.2–1.5M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,975 | +$25 +1.3% | 10 |
| 146d | tomatosauce2 | 2.4–2.7M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,208 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 146d |  mrworldwide | 1.2–1.5M | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,646 | −$28 −1.7% | — |
| 179d |  rando123454 fills | 1.2–1.5M | SellNo83¢ → 0¢ | $4,442 | +$4,442 +100% | — |
| 179d | rando12345 | 1.2–1.5M | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $3,148 | −$3,178 −101% | — |
| 179d | rando123452 fills | 0.6–0.9M | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,806 | −$636 −17% | — |
| 179d | rando12345 | 0.6–0.9M | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,254 | +$1,254 +100% | — |
shuwu11139 sharesThe Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 1.2–1.5M means the market gives it about 100%.