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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 402d | VvVv | Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,991 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 402d |  Ahpo | Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,461 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 402d |  Bertapotamous | Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 402d |  Car3 fills | Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting? | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,768 | +$67 +0.4% | 20 |
| 402d |  ScottyNooo5 fills | Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting? | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,269 | +$63 +0.3% | 20 |
| 402d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,628 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 |
| 402d | wubddh | Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,018 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 403d |  truthteller4 fills | Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,291 | +$78 +0.8% | 20 |
| 405d |  scottilicious4 fills | Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,475 | +$135 +1.0% | 20 |
| 405d |  DEGENKHAN | Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,977 | +$23 +1.1% | 20 |
| 405d |  classified | Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,472 | −$40 −1.6% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any state or federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Tyler Robinson in connection to the assassination of Charlie Kirk by October 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.