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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 769d | stabby | UK civil war in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,010 | −$151 −2.2% | — |
| 794d | momom2 fills | UK civil war in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $35,000 | +$917 +2.6% | 4 |
| 799d |  ImJustKen | UK civil war in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,008 | +$93 +3.1% | 4 |
| 804d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA96045 | UK civil war in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,542 | +$166 +3.7% | 4 |
| 808d | stabby2 fills | UK civil war in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,960 | +$246 +4.1% | 4 |
| 809d | Gdub | UK civil war in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,894 | +$106 +3.7% | 4 |
| 809d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | UK civil war in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,412 | +$127 +5.3% | 4 |
jenkins1,228 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom enters a state of civil war by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming the UK is in a civil war. Note: Media reports that use the phrase "civil war" metaphorically will not count. Only a consensus of reporting that the UK has entered a literal civil war will qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.