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Polymarket wallet 0x04ca8da964762ec17dc5589ef340a53574ccc564 · on Polymarket since Oct 25, 2024 · also shown as Trained-Broker
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | Yes | 493 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $12 | +$2 +21% |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 52 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| UK civil war in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 381 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Ukraine strike on Moscow before November?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 109 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 119 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 450 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 114 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 271d | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BuyYes2¢ | $10 |
| 367d | US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $10 |
| 367d | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary? | BuyYes3¢ | $14 |
| 725d | Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or? | BuyYes10¢ | $12 |
| 726d | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyYes44¢ | $23 |
| 726d | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyYes29¢ | $35 |
| 727d | UK civil war in 2024? | BuyYes1¢ | $8 |
| 727d | Ukraine strike on Moscow before November? | BuyYes5¢ | $5 |
| 727d | Israel strikes Iranian oil in October? | BuyYes4¢ | $15 |
| 728d | Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December? | BuyYes37¢ | $35 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.