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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 4% | — | 0 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,002 | +$9 +0.9% | 10 | |
| 134d | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,297 | −$3 −0.2% | — | |
| 134d | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,000 | +$26 +0.3% | 10 | |
| 135d | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,422 | −$11 −0.8% | — | |
| 175d | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$56 +3.8% | 10 | |
| 178d | Sniveling-Passion | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,917 | −$275 −4.6% | — |
| 182d | Sniveling-Passion | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $1,152 | +$110 +9.5% | 10 |
| 230d | Sniveling-PassionNew account | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,828 | +$364 +6.2% | 13 |
| 238d | KrackenSruster | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,633 | −$424 −16% | — |
| 254d | Minty-Vane | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$283 +25% | 10 |
| 258d | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$189 +9.5% | 10 | |
| 267d | Primary-Senator | December 31, 2026 | SellNo66¢ → 96¢ | $2,409 | −$1,090 −45% | — |
| 267d | Ill-Heritage | December 31, 2026 | SellNo65¢ → 96¢ | $2,682 | −$1,273 −47% | — |
| 268d | Primary-Senator | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo67¢ → 96¢ | $2,446 | +$1,053 +43% | 10 |
| 268d | Ill-Heritage | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo67¢ → 96¢ | $2,764 | +$1,190 +43% | 10 |
| 291d | KrackenSruster | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$556 +21% | 10 |
| 296d | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,375 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 297d | lilei11 | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,263 | −$837 −37% | — |
| 297d | bingtanghulu | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $3,309 | −$1,224 −37% | — |
| 298d | juanbing | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,315 | −$1,315 −100% | 11 |
| 299d | fruitst | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,070 | −$930 −45% | — |
| 299d | shumei | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,932 | −$868 −45% | — |
| 299d | giraff | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,346 | −$1,054 −45% | — |
| 299d | yingtaoh | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,139 | −$961 −45% | — |
| 302d | yingtaoh | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,356 | +$744 +32% | 10 |
| 302d | fruitst | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,280 | +$720 +32% | 10 |
| 302d | shumei | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,128 | +$672 +32% | 10 |
| 302d | giraff | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,584 | +$816 +32% | 10 |
| 304d | jiangzhi | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,204 | −$696 −32% | — |
| 304d | sunziu | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,280 | −$720 −32% | — |
| 304d | guaziren | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $3,011 | −$899 −30% | — |
| 304d | bailu1 | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,429 | −$725 −30% | — |
| 304d | chouchou1 | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,356 | −$704 −30% | — |
| 304d | weiluz | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,128 | +$672 +32% | 10 |
| 304d | jiangzhi | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,204 | +$696 +32% | 10 |
| 304d | sunziu | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,280 | +$720 +32% | 10 |
| 304d | chouzh | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,052 | +$648 +32% | 10 |
| 304d | chouchou1 | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,326 | +$734 +32% | 10 |
| 304d | guaziren | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,972 | +$938 +32% | 10 |
| 304d | bailu1 | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,397 | +$757 +32% | 10 |
| 305d | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,190 | −$10 −0.3% | — | |
| 305d | baiguo | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $2,070 | −$727 −35% | — |
| 306d | chaoqiezi | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,508 | +$836 +33% | 10 |
| 306d | guochanzi | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,971 | +$657 +33% | 10 |
| 306d | baiguo | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,098 | +$699 +33% | 10 |
| 306d | tudousi | Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,201 | +$734 +33% | 10 |
| 308d | BlackPeopleDontRecycle | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | SellNo100¢ | $1,061 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 309d | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $31,373 | −$1,009 −3.2% | — | |
| 323d | AuroraSynergy | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,253 | +$10 +0.8% | 10 |
| 324d | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,564 | −$36 −1.0% | — | |
| 342d | Crock95 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,384 | +$32 +2.3% | 10 |
| 348d | squirtl | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,690 | −$124 −1.9% | — |
| 355d | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,323 | +$70 +2.1% | 10 | |
| 360d | cqs7 fills | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,746 | −$399 −2.5% | — |
| 366d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | −$27 −1.8% | — |
| 372d | 0x79a009b7C0336273Bf3Bc7E1D940aD3e2152B9 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,959 | −$99 −2.5% | — |
| 375d | pkz | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,547 | −$31 −2.0% | — |
| 392d | nhpx38txna0500 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | −$100 −5.3% | — |
| 417d | keribit | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$77 +7.5% | 10 |
| 419d | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | +$87 +7.5% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside of 2025, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 4%.