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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 5% | — | — | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| March 31 | 16% | +1 pts | −3 pts | 15¢ · 16¢ (1¢) | $248 | in 159d |
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GaioMario20 shares
youtube-trader4 shares
Gluckyklucky145 shares
frosique160 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of Ukraine lowers the minimum military conscription age between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The change must be confirmed through an official government announcement, legislation, or decree. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 5¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 5%.