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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 299d |  XAE12Archangel | Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,029 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 301d | ourdemocracy2 | Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,096 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 307d |  How.Dare.You | Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,994 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 313d | AndrianoLamo | Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,256 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 321d | Eatpraylove | Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | +$12 +0.8% | 20 |
| 328d | BTC-WHALE | Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,415 | +$65 +1.0% | 20 |
| 336d | xoua | Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,789 | −$211 −4.4% | — |
| 354d |  TheAugur | Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,235 | +$207 +6.4% | 20 |
| 357d |  TealV | Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $8,323 | −$934 −11% | — |
| 364d |  lostmansoul | Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | −$114 −11% | — |
| 364d |  Trumputin | Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,655 | −$295 −11% | — |
| 365d | PedroGonzales2 fills | Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,496 | +$468 +10% | 20 |
| 370d |  classified2 fills | Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,457 | +$301 +8.7% | 20 |
| 372d | tdrrr | Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | +$243 +22% | 20 |
| 372d | slight- | Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $3,359 | +$1,194 +36% | 20 |
| 373d |  DumplingBMF | Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,556 | +$635 +41% | 20 |
| 374d | BMTH | Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,267 +42% | 20 |
esrtsehgtsfdghb1,019 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine conducts at least one combat strike using a Tomahawk cruise missiles by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Tests used outside of combat will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. or Ukrainian government. Credible video or photo evidence, or reporting from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, BBC, Der Spiegel, DW, Le Monde, Sky News, Al Jazeera, The Kyiv Independent and The Guardian may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.