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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | +94 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 294d |  takemymoney | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $7,330 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | Ordon6 fills | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $17,982 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | 0x2b36…473b | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,346 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 294d |  GollumGekko2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,090 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 294d |  ZhangMuZhi-2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $59,940 | −$60 −0.1% | — |
| 294d |  noreasapa2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $39,960 | −$40 −0.1% | — |
| 295d | tsekinming01 | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,905 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 295d |  Flipadelphia | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,967 | +$16 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d |  b4k9xj2wh2 | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $69,749 | +$70 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | 0x2b36…473b2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,191 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d |  Car3 fills | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $135,757 | +$232 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d |  MrRobot111 | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,521 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | hollyber2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $53,519 | +$57 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | Snoorrason | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,208 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d |  ElvenWisp | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,792 | +$31 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d |  Oompa-Loompa | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d |  huyase | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,083 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d |  Nobo | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,025 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d |  bamesjond2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $13,986 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 295d |  Tigerofthehood | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $20,915 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 295d |  Tenebrus7 | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 295d | Tigerofthehood | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $55,226 | +$55 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Contrarian - 7451 | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,161 | +$18 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d |  thegreengem | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $41,130 | +$41 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d |  ScottyNooo18 fills | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $338,137 | +$2,538 +0.8% | 20 |
| 296d |  duderr | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,887 | −$18 −0.3% | — |
| 296d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b044 fills | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,000 | +$53 +0.3% | 20 |
| 296d |  zthunderfury | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,094 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 296d |  Asperatus | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,097 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 296d | Probs | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,049 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 296d | denizz | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1,305 | −$1,305 −100% | 22 |
| 296d |  Parz1vaI2 fills | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,942 | −$20 −0.4% | — |
| 297d |  0x46E29dcb9cD03B9f39bf5Bf7759b07ea280EF | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes100¢ | $2,488 | −$13 −0.5% | — |
| 297d |  Ahpo | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,476 | −$25 −0.7% | — |
| 298d | DoomPosting-Enjoyer | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,358 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 298d | yougotme | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,079 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 298d | bamesjond | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,662 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 298d |  scout | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes100¢ | $2,888 | +$15 +0.5% | 20 |
| 298d |  Chims | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,986 | +$18 +0.6% | 20 |
| 298d | rwo | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,445 | −$122 −1.3% | — |
| 298d | rwo | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,955 | +$45 +0.4% | 20 |
| 298d | yougotme | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,079 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 298d |  bosshog | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,308 | −$125 −2.9% | — |
| 298d |  MisTKy3 | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,968 | +$32 +1.6% | 20 |
| 298d | wubddh3 fills | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,134 | +$106 +2.6% | 21 |
| 298d |  tunatyler | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,647 | −$53 −3.2% | — |
| 298d | zthunderfury | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$27 +2.5% | 21 |
| 298d | BulkeyBull | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,631 | −$72 −4.4% | — |
| 298d |  OnlyHope | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,873 | +$129 +6.9% | 22 |
| 298d |  💰💰 | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | +$193 +18% | 24 |
| 298d |  Naichli | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes26¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | −$3,399 −281% | — |
| 298d |  25usdc | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | −$559 −54% | — |
| 298d | Naichli | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $3,241 | +$1,759 +54% | 25 |
| 298d | ngggrah | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $1,198 | −$1,198 −100% | 25 |
| 298d |  GayPride | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$899 +82% | 25 |
| 298d |  Mr.Fister | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellYes35¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | −$1,963 −189% | — |
| 305d | alwaysOn | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,062 | −$1,062 −100% | 20 |
| 307d | luckboxx | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | SellNo71¢ → 0¢ | $1,806 | +$1,806 +100% | — |
| 314d | Relieved-Signet | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,850 | −$1,850 −100% | 20 |
TheRealD10 shares
SeDDy.105,294 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participates on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conducts a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation which is either confirmed by the U.S. Government or an overwhelming consensus of reporting will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government, however an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.