Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket wallet 0x461f664740240dd28e66f975a4a6510e803b6e7f · on Polymarket since Oct 8, 2025 · also shown as Last-Refuse
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US civil war in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $16 | +$0 +2.4% |
| 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +14% |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 373d | 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1? | BuyNo86¢ | $10 |
| 380d | US civil war in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ | $16 |
| 380d | Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31? | BuyYes78¢ | $10 |
| 380d | Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | BuyYes21¢ | $10 |
| 380d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes88¢ | $10 |
| 380d | Will the Government shutdown end October 15+? | BuyYes77¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.