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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 45¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +122% |
| U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 65¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +54% |
| Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 75¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +33% |
| Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 231d | Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30? | BuyYes30¢ | $1 |
| 231d | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | SellYes3¢ | $0 |
| 232d | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $1 |
| 233d | Will Iran strike Jordan in March? | BuyYes75¢ | $1 |
| 233d | Will Iran strike Israel on March 4? | SellYes2¢ | $0 |
| 233d | Will Iran strike Israel on March 4? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 233d | Will Iran strike Israel on March 5? | BuyNo47¢ | $1 |
| 233d | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | BuyNo45¢ | $1 |
| 233d | Will Iran strike Israel on March 5? | BuyNo48¢ | $1 |
| 233d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | BuyUp86¢ | $1 |
| 233d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo81¢ | $1 |
| 233d | U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31? | BuyNo65¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.