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Polymarket wallet 0x82d4d5dd4345163ac8070ef28c5f730d1ba66d99 · on Polymarket since Jan 4, 2026 · also shown as Married-Tube
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,750 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 201 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,895 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 16 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.