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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 450d |  Funfzig8 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $21,547 | +$348 +1.6% | 20 |
| 450d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,263 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 450d | DOGWIFHAT | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,166 | −$19 −0.6% | — |
| 451d |  MisTKy32 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,057 | −$32 −0.6% | — |
| 452d | nonkenny90 | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo100¢ | $1,864 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 452d |  HowToBasic | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo100¢ | $1,026 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 455d | BlindGibbon | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,937 | −$49 −0.7% | — |
| 455d | JoeBlack01 | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo100¢ | $1,340 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 455d | MisTKy33 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,400 | +$87 +0.5% | 20 |
| 456d |  Mr-Krabs4 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,434 | −$60 −1.1% | — |
| 458d | Niseko3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,921 | −$79 −1.1% | — |
| 459d | leitingjie | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,316 | +$23 +0.7% | 20 |
| 459d |  studmuffin6969 | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,929 | −$21 −1.1% | — |
| 459d |  Zykoer | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,450 | +$25 +1.0% | 20 |
| 460d | studmuffin6969 | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 461d | 854A7843 | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,073 | +$19 +0.9% | 20 |
| 461d |  CMCAM | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,972 | −$28 −1.4% | — |
| 463d | RottenTomatoesSharp | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,806 | −$29 −1.6% | — |
| 463d |  AuthenticDemigod | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,282 | −$18 −1.4% | — |
| 464d | SmartMoney-769 | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,777 | −$115 −1.7% | — |
| 466d | nedsta | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | −$22 −2.0% | — |
| 469d | GeoPolArb | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,370 | −$28 −2.0% | — |
| 470d |  scottilicious2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,976 | +$305 +3.8% | 20 |
| 470d |  Intendant-Jean-Talon | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,022 | −$56 −2.8% | — |
| 471d |  johnnyA | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,519 | +$50 +3.3% | 20 |
| 472d | CMCAM | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,517 | +$97 +6.4% | 20 |
| 476d | AvocadoConnoisseur | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,821 | −$326 −8.5% | — |
| 476d | nonkenny903 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,615 | +$631 +14% | 20 |
| 476d |  GoriIIa4 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $44,471 | +$3,653 +8.2% | 20 |
| 477d | skylove2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $11,816 | +$2,094 +18% | 20 |
| 477d | BlindGibbon | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | +$85 +7.5% | 20 |
| 479d | Intendant-Jean-Talon | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,665 | +$185 +11% | 20 |
| 479d | tradeee15235 | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | −$148 −12% | — |
| 479d | ro0k | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $1,046 | −$1,046 −100% | 20 |
| 479d | Mr-Krabs | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | +$141 +9.9% | 20 |
| 480d |  mr.ozi | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$180 +14% | 20 |
| 480d |  thepunisher | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellYes14¢ → 0¢ | $1,667 | +$1,667 +100% | — |
| 480d | RottenTomatoesSharp | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,523 | +$312 +20% | 20 |
| 481d |  RealRobertHouse | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,113 | −$505 −24% | — |
| 481d | RealRobertHouse | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,213 | +$405 +18% | 20 |
| 482d |  siick | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,778 | +$390 +22% | 20 |
| 482d | Niseko3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $9,648 | +$2,302 +24% | 20 |
| 482d | Green-Initialize | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,540 | +$460 +30% | 25 |
| 483d | SmartMoney-7692 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $5,257 | +$1,635 +31% | 20 |
| 483d |  nothinghappens | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | +$418 +30% | 20 |
| 483d |  KnureKnume | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,315 | −$438 −33% | — |
| 483d | KnureKnume | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,540 | +$460 +30% | 20 |
| 484d |  Grinch1272 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $3,893 | −$1,349 −35% | — |
| 484d | DaftPunk-665 | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,913 | +$774 +27% | 20 |
| 484d | donaldtrump | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,900 | +$788 +27% | 20 |
| 485d | jaja5050 | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,089 | +$1,089 +100% | — |
| 485d |  Pulser | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 20 |
| 485d | Generator | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,295 | +$613 +27% | 20 |
| 486d |  FATMAN | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,908 | −$1,908 −100% | 23 |
| 486d | Catfishnaan | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,840 | +$1,840 +100% | — |
| 487d |  BenjarninNetanyahu | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | −$508 −47% | — |
| 487d | skylove | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo71¢ → 100¢ | $3,561 | −$1,439 −40% | — |
| 487d |  Mr.Frog🐸 | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,738 | −$1,738 −100% | 22 |
| 487d |  sigh | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $3,441 | −$3,441 −100% | 27 |
| 487d | WhaleZone | US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | −$255 −20% | — |
TimeTraveler6,117 shares
user-213094o4,000 shares
BariHoney1,400 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran between June 10, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.