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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 176d | Moonshot10192 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $23,986 | −$41 −0.2% | — |
| 176d | Ilgato | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,568 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 176d |  bosshog | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,113 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 176d |  akula19932 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $13,690 | −$873 −6.4% | — |
| 177d | rfl | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,226 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 177d | 0x7d70…27e8 | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,491 | −$38 −0.6% | — |
| 178d | Sakura-Kinomoto | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,059 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 178d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo100¢ | $6,468 | +$33 +0.5% | 20 |
| 179d | Decent-Corporal | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | −$22 −1.1% | — |
| 179d | denizz5 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $22,361 | +$5,649 +25% | 20 |
| 179d | Runaround3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,409 | −$307 −2.3% | — |
| 180d | Tend1esAdd1ction | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,501 | −$104 −3.0% | — |
| 180d | avechristus | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | −$31 −3.0% | — |
| 180d | Worried-Explanation | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | −$35 −2.8% | — |
| 180d | spamabunch | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,280 | −$152 −2.9% | — |
| 180d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,243 | +$150 +2.4% | 20 |
| 181d | Runaround3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $10,159 | +$393 +3.9% | 20 |
| 181d | Strong-Character | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | −$46 −4.0% | — |
| 181d |  debased10 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $15,740 | +$5,424 +34% | 20 |
| 181d |  NarrativeFire3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,402 | −$511 −9.5% | — |
| 182d |  starbuck02 | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,342 | +$158 +6.7% | 20 |
| 182d | 123pocky | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$100 +7.2% | 20 |
| 182d | Decent-Corporal | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,729 | +$553 +8.2% | 21 |
| 182d | qwerty12345678901 | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,578 | +$191 +12% | 21 |
| 182d | Akvyr | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,837 | −$335 −12% | — |
| 182d | NELF | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,985 | +$315 +5.3% | 20 |
| 183d | 0xe617…f2514 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$1,205 +12% | 20 |
| 183d | Physical-Genie2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $15,074 | +$1,237 +8.2% | 21 |
| 183d | Physical-Genie | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,195 | −$500 −9.6% | — |
| 184d | Tend1esAdd1ction | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,100 | +$505 +16% | 21 |
| 184d | Cheremsha | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,332 | +$392 +17% | 21 |
| 184d | Fumbling-Oldie | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$215 +21% | 20 |
| 184d | LeroysAndDings | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$334 −17% | — |
| 185d | Jest55 | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | −$278 −24% | — |
| 185d |  Valen93 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $5,632 | −$5,632 −100% | 30 |
| 185d | bigdaddy123456 | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $4,445 | −$1,380 −31% | — |
| 185d | Skinny-Class7 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $15,740 | −$15,740 −100% | 32 |
| 185d | denizz | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $2,384 | −$1,111 −47% | — |
| 185d |  PrayForPeace | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,254 | +$1,254 +100% | — |
| 185d | denizz5 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellYes35¢ → 0¢ | $15,636 | +$15,636 +100% | — |
| 186d |  scottilicious7 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $30,441 | −$8,260 −27% | — |
| 186d |  paddaa | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | −$672 −61% | — |
| 186d | paddaa | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$899 +56% | 20 |
| 186d | spamabunch | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | +$801 +67% | 20 |
| 186d | PrayForPeace2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $2,763 | −$2,763 −100% | 20 |
| 186d | Eatpraylove | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$616 +61% | 20 |
| 186d | 0x7d70…27e8 | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $4,149 | +$2,381 +57% | 20 |
| 187d | akula19933 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $7,493 | +$3,140 +42% | 20 |
| 187d |  Marco-Rubio | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $2,029 | −$969 −48% | — |
| 187d | MoeZart | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | +$658 +57% | 20 |
| 187d |  tetrose | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $3,078 | −$3,078 −100% | 20 |
| 187d |  36chambers4 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $11,240 | −$11,240 −100% | 28 |
| 187d | debased | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,318 | −$1,318 −100% | 21 |
| 187d |  Warren-Buffett | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,780 | −$1,780 −100% | 21 |
| 188d | wan123 | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,156 | −$1,156 −100% | 20 |
| 188d | Extravagance3 | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,686 | +$1,686 +100% | — |
| 188d | tetrose | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellYes45¢ → 0¢ | $1,013 | +$1,013 +100% | — |
| 188d | Warren-Buffett4 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellYes42¢ → 0¢ | $9,859 | +$9,859 +100% | — |
| 188d | 36chambers3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellYes56¢ → 0¢ | $9,601 | +$9,601 +100% | — |
| 189d | l3t0 | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SellYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,684 | +$1,684 +100% | — |
Brokie10,000 shares
randombets0930 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.