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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 541d | nghiapham | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,480 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 541d | lynVenis | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 541d | Ralvenor | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,600 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 541d |  syncope2 fills | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,361 | +$19 +0.6% | 10 |
| 542d | QMG-CORE2 fills | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,999 | +$33 +1.1% | 10 |
| 543d | kevinstewart | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,511 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 543d | zacharyharris | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,209 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 543d | uowens2 fills | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,504 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 543d | kari44 | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,224 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 543d | rebeccawilson | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,507 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 546d | joy2theworld | U.S. recession before May 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,196 | −$51 −1.2% | — |
| 550d |  stormshadow10 fills | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $27,117 | +$251 +0.9% | 10 |
| 551d | stormshadow3 fills | U.S. recession before May 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,448 | −$42 −0.9% | — |
| 552d | lowrisk242 fills | U.S. recession before May 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,108 | −$29 −0.9% | — |
| 556d | VvVv | U.S. recession before May 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | −$18 −0.9% | — |
| 565d | tigercager | U.S. recession before May 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | −$14 −1.2% | — |
| 567d |  GayPride2 fills | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,188 | +$88 +1.0% | 10 |
| 572d | Zarvantis | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $34,277 | +$381 +1.1% | 10 |
| 577d | n0d | U.S. recession before May 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,367 | −$57 −1.7% | — |
| 579d | n0d | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,382 | +$42 +1.3% | 10 |
| 597d |  Dankwizart420 | U.S. recession before May 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$25 −2.4% | — |
| 602d | Gethigher | U.S. recession before May 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,883 | −$117 −4.0% | — |
| 648d | lowrisk242 fills | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,545 | +$451 +6.9% | 10 |
| 660d | raybaebae | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,392 | +$208 +8.7% | 10 |
| 665d | GeneTheCow - 112222 fills | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $9,508 | +$1,243 +13% | 10 |
| 679d | FiftyFifty-593 | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | +$156 +14% | 10 |
| 682d | Gethigher | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,610 | +$390 +15% | 10 |
| 715d |  Flaner | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,089 | +$398 +19% | 10 |
| 726d | commeowder | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,096 | +$524 +25% | 10 |
| 733d | ripzyzz | U.S. recession before May 2025? | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 10 |
TheAmericanPsycho8,200 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) publicly announces that a recession has occurred in the United States, at any point in 2024 or later, with the announcement made between September 25, 2024, and April 30, 2025, inclusive. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official announcements from the NBER.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.