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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 476d |  Svarbhanu | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,743 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 476d |  MisTKy34 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,941 | −$382 −2.4% | — |
| 476d |  debased | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $32,329 | −$32 −0.1% | — |
| 476d | 0330330332 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $57,480 | +$58 +0.1% | 20 |
| 476d |  classified2 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,967 | +$14 +0.4% | 20 |
| 476d |  NoYesMaybeLater3 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,091 | −$55 −0.6% | — |
| 476d | debased | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,780 | +$112 +0.4% | 20 |
| 476d |  SqPeg2 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo100¢ | $11,663 | −$59 −0.5% | — |
| 476d | LBZone | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,183 | +$17 +0.4% | 20 |
| 477d | Onamiko2864 | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,604 | −$11 −0.7% | — |
| 477d | aharoni94 | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,811 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 477d |  0x123452 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,086 | −$84 −0.7% | — |
| 477d |  JaidenAnimations3 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $21,210 | −$43 −0.2% | — |
| 477d |  0x2jsdkvfhjaklsdfnkjwebnksdnwerewe | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $7,287 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 477d |  arjennnnn2 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,967 | −$43 −0.9% | — |
| 477d |  lil-uzi-squirt | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,641 | +$53 +0.2% | 20 |
| 477d | Svarbhanu | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,657 | +$23 +0.3% | 20 |
| 477d |  MajidJavadi2 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,331 | −$41 −1.2% | — |
| 477d |  0xdc3E831cad2 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,203 | +$12 +0.6% | 20 |
| 477d |  verysensitive3 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,494 | +$67 +0.3% | 20 |
| 477d | arjennnnn2 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,107 | +$37 +1.2% | 20 |
| 477d |  betwick | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | −$100 −2.0% | — |
| 477d | MAGA.ONE | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,292 | +$34 +1.5% | 20 |
| 477d |  Dropper3 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,642 | +$267 +4.7% | 20 |
| 478d |  Car2 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,702 | +$97 +2.1% | 20 |
| 478d |  gg-anon | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,081 | −$168 −8.1% | — |
| 478d | olih_ - 24415 | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,812 | +$50 +2.8% | 20 |
| 479d |  TheFund | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,529 | +$52 +3.4% | 20 |
| 479d | denizz2 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $19,827 | +$730 +3.7% | 20 |
| 479d |  mr.ozi | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,892 | +$108 +3.7% | 20 |
| 479d | AssafAm | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,446 | +$54 +3.7% | 20 |
| 479d | JaidenAnimations2 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $15,745 | +$570 +3.6% | 20 |
| 479d |  uncleroger2 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,201 | −$429 −8.2% | — |
| 479d | Empty-Stirfry | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,137 | −$194 −9.1% | — |
| 479d | 0x123452 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $14,109 | +$652 +4.6% | 20 |
| 479d | 0x2jsdkvfhjaklsdfnkjwebnksdnwerewe | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,063 | +$234 +3.3% | 20 |
| 479d | AssafAm | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,576 | −$102 −6.5% | — |
| 479d | Trader2936 | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | −$66 −6.3% | — |
| 479d |  AspiringWhale123 | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$44 +4.2% | 20 |
| 480d | Dingoose2 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$188 +3.8% | 20 |
| 480d |  Dumbeldor2003 | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,667 | −$338 −20% | — |
| 480d | shrosenb | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,402 | −$222 −16% | — |
| 480d |  Arbguy | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $14,999 | +$464 +3.1% | 20 |
| 480d |  ahahaa66174 | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | +$34 +3.1% | 20 |
| 480d | uncleroger | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,460 | +$169 +3.1% | 20 |
| 480d | Trader2936 | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,779 | +$221 +2.3% | 21 |
| 480d | MisTKy32 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,837 | +$351 +5.1% | 21 |
| 480d |  Funfzig | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | +$250 +5.3% | 22 |
| 480d | NoYesMaybeLater | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,114 | +$139 +1.5% | 21 |
| 480d | SqPeg | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $13,842 | +$653 +4.7% | 22 |
| 480d |  EmpirePending | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$53 +5.3% | 22 |
| 482d | Onamiko2864 | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$115 +7.7% | 21 |
| 482d | gg-anon | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,045 | +$205 +10% | 22 |
| 486d | Gameron2343 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $12,962 | −$1,530 −12% | — |
| 487d |  just.some.guy2 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,962 | +$601 +20% | 20 |
| 487d | Gusarich | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,511 | −$201 −13% | — |
| 491d | Gameron2343 fills | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $10,965 | +$4,945 +45% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States military provides in-air refueling to Israeli aircraft as part of operations involving strikes on Iranian territory by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Strikes must be confirmed as targeting sites within Iran, and the refueling must be directly associated with those missions. General military cooperation, joint exercises, or unrelated refueling operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible media reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.