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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 28 | 100% | +2 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 13 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 249d | February 28 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,861 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 249d | yougotme | February 28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,355 | +$19 +0.2% | 4 |
| 249d | Fancyi5 fills | February 28 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $13,932 | −$597 −4.3% | — |
| 249d | February 28 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,788 | +$48 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 249d | February 28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,013 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 249d | February 28 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,177 | +$42 +1.3% | 4 | |
| 251d | Nonstop-Bulk | February 28 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,668 | +$59 +3.6% | 4 |
| 251d | Trustinghorse3 fills | February 28 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $11,860 | +$821 +6.9% | 4 |
| 251d | phantom999 | February 28 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,509 | −$98 −3.9% | — |
| 251d | Thrifty-Cyst4 fills | February 28 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,862 | +$313 +5.3% | 5 |
| 251d | February 28 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,502 | +$92 +6.1% | 4 | |
| 252d | ikickbabies | February 28 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$87 +8.7% | 4 |
| 252d | il1 | February 28 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 4 |
| 252d | Worried-Enquiry | February 28 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | +$82 +6.4% | 5 |
| 252d | Trustinghorse | February 13 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,626 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | il12 fills | February 13 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,227 | +$49 +1.5% | 4 |
| 252d | Worried-Enquiry | February 13 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,314 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 252d | phantom999 | February 28 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,038 | +$169 +5.6% | 4 |
| 252d | February 28 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$407 +34% | 4 | |
| 253d | February 13 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$6 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 253d | esac | February 13 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,208 | +$16 +0.7% | 4 |
| 253d | ejz101 | February 13 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | −$14 −1.2% | — |
| 253d | February 13 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,707 | +$90 +1.9% | 4 | |
| 254d | mamai | February 13 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | −$57 −4.1% | — |
| 254d | February 13 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,513 | +$75 +5.0% | 4 | |
| 255d | ejz101 | February 13 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$76 +7.2% | 4 |
| 255d | dotheoppositeofme | February 28 | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$326 +29% | 4 |
| 255d | February 13 | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,477 | −$309 −21% | — | |
| 255d | panzer43561 | February 13 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | −$301 −14% | — |
| 256d | February 13 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,889 | +$276 +15% | 4 | |
| 256d | February 13 | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $1,824 | +$1,322 +72% | 4 | |
| 257d | February 13 | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 4 | |
| 257d | Huludubu | February 13 | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,008 | −$1,008 −100% | 4 |
| 258d | Nonstop-Bulk2 fills | February 13 | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $3,662 | −$3,662 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, may qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for February 28 means the market gives it about 100%.