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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before January 1 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| January 1 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| January 2 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| January 3 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| January 4 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| January 5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| January 6 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| January 7 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| January 8 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| January 9 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| January 10 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| No airdrop by January 10 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 298d |  PredictionYogi | Before January 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,621 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 298d |  classified | No airdrop by January 10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,098 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 298d | classified | January 6 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,247 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 298d | haeju | Before January 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,683 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 298d |  lranon2nd3 fills | Before January 1 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,659 | +$223 +6.1% | 2 |
| 298d | user12449 | January 8 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,053 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 298d | user124492 fills | January 6 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,933 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 298d |  IamBatman- | No airdrop by January 10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 298d | user12449 | January 1 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,528 | +$44 +0.3% | 2 |
| 298d |  Istaroth2 fills | No airdrop by January 10 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,585 | +$64 +0.5% | 2 |
| 298d | user12449 | January 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,955 | +$45 +0.3% | 2 |
| 298d |  bigmoneyloser00 | Before January 1 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,724 | +$18 +1.1% | 2 |
| 298d | bigmoneyloser00 | January 6 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,049 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 298d | bigmoneyloser00 | January 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,931 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 298d | rated | January 9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 298d | rated | January 4 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,051 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 298d | rated | January 1 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 298d | Maokai | Before January 1 | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,891 | −$424 −22% | — |
| 298d | hunida | Before January 1 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$164 +15% | 2 |
| 298d | Maokai | Before January 1 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$315 +16% | 2 |
| 298d | cigarettes | Before January 1 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,165 | +$188 +8.7% | 2 |
| 298d | dgskn | Before January 1 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | +$191 +13% | 2 |
| 298d | cako | Before January 1 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,374 | +$154 +11% | 2 |
AllByMyseIf321 sharesThis market will resolve according to the next date, in ET, on which Lighter performs an airdrop on. If Lighter launches a memecoin and performs an airdrop of that token within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Lighter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Before January 1 means the market gives it about 100%.