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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earbuds/Headphones | 17% | −1 pts | +3 pts | 11¢ · 23¢ (12¢) | — | in 68d |
| Phone | 4% | — | 0 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | — | in 68d |
| Watch | 5% | — | −1 pts | 4¢ · 6¢ (2¢) | — | in 68d |
| Necklace | 4% | — | −1 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | — | in 68d |
| Clip-on device for clothing | 12% | — | −1 pts | 10¢ · 13¢ (3¢) | — | in 68d |
| Tablet | 8% | — | 0 pts | 8¢ · 8¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| Ring | 5% | — | −2 pts | 4¢ · 6¢ (2¢) | — | in 68d |
| Head-mounted display | 2% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 68d |
| Computer (Laptop/Desktop) | 5% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 5¢ · 6¢ (<1¢) | $117 | in 68d |
| Glasses | 12% | −1 pts | — | 11¢ · 13¢ (2¢) | $8.63 | in 68d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78d |  Car | Computer (Laptop/Desktop) | BuyNo92¢ → 95¢ | $1,022 | +$31 +3.0% | 25 |
| 101d |  tourists | Head-mounted display | BuyNo90¢ → 98¢ | $1,414 | +$135 +9.5% | 20 |
| 101d | tourists | Phone | BuyNo89¢ → 96¢ | $4,205 | +$328 +7.8% | 20 |
| 101d | tourists | Glasses | BuyNo85¢ → 88¢ | $1,817 | +$64 +3.5% | 30 |
| 159d | traboukos | Phone | BuyNo81¢ → 96¢ | $1,029 | +$190 +19% | 20 |
| 171d |  SPMontreal | Earbuds/Headphones | BuyNo69¢ → 83¢ | $1,378 | +$272 +20% | 20 |
| 172d | ethhte | Earbuds/Headphones | BuyNo59¢ → 83¢ | $2,500 | +$989 +40% | 20 |
| 194d | bakedapeyachtclub | Clip-on device for clothing | SellNo78¢ → 89¢ | $1,033 | −$139 −13% | — |
| 195d | bakedapeyachtclub | Clip-on device for clothing | BuyNo84¢ → 89¢ | $2,358 | +$126 +5.4% | 20 |
| 196d | gucci-wallet | Glasses | BuyNo81¢ → 88¢ | $1,001 | +$87 +8.6% | 33 |
| 196d | fastpic | Necklace | SellNo74¢ → 96¢ | $1,177 | −$350 −30% | — |
| 197d | fastpic | Necklace | BuyNo83¢ → 96¢ | $1,320 | +$207 +16% | 20 |
| 265d |  Ninetohou | Watch | SellNo10¢ → 95¢ | $1,031 | −$8,760 −850% | — |
| 265d | Ninetohou2 fills | Watch | BuyNo93¢ → 95¢ | $9,558 | +$233 +2.4% | 20 |
ooops800 shares
LornaPredicts558 shares
thebloodangel1,500 sharestourists1,236 sharesThis market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 17¢ for Earbuds/Headphones means the market gives it about 17%.