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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $256 | 100% | +20 pts | +74 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $280 | 0% | −6 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $244 | 100% | +60 pts | +73 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $308 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $288 | 0% | −5 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $232 | 0% | −1 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $272 | 100% | +3 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $264 | 100% | +23 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $216 | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $324 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $360 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $340 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $296 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $196 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 266d | pelik | ↑ $280 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,656 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 266d | ↑ $280 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,725 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 266d | Sharky69994 fills | ↑ $308 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,168 | +$15 +0.1% | 4 |
| 266d | Sharky6999 | ↓ $196 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,086 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 266d | Sharky69992 fills | ↑ $324 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,973 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 266d | ↓ $232 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,783 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 266d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | ↓ $216 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,752 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 266d | runrunrunitup | ↓ $216 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,098 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 267d | QMG-CORE | ↑ $340 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,398 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 267d | QMG-CORE | ↑ $360 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,554 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 267d | MistahFox | ↑ $288 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,767 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 276d | roejdf2 fills | ↓ $244 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,745 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 279d | ↓ $232 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | −$93 −8.4% | — | |
| 289d | ↓ $256 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,314 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 289d | yougotme | ↓ $256 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,309 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | ↓ $256 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,670 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 291d | ↓ $264 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,250 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 291d | ↓ $264 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,190 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 295d | ↓ $272 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,482 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 295d | BlackFridayDeals | ↓ $272 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,452 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
What will Apple (AAPL) hit in January 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ $256 means the market gives it about 100%.