| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 129 | 85¢ → 79¢ | $101 | −$8 −7.4% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 185 | 37¢ → 40¢ | $73 | +$4 +6.3% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 100 | 71¢ → 67¢ | $67 | −$3 −4.7% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 84 | 81¢ → 74¢ | $62 | −$6 −9.5% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 115 | 52¢ → 51¢ | $59 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 346 | 16¢ → 15¢ | $52 | −$4 −7.6% |
| Ethereal FDV above $400M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 56 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $47 | −$1 −2.8% |
| Ethereal FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 54 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $45 | −$1 −2.5% |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 100 | 39¢ → 45¢ | $45 | +$5 +14% |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 62 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $44 | +$1 +2.3% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 114 | 40¢ → 37¢ | $43 | −$3 −5.9% |
| Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 48 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $39 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 180 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $36 | $0 0.0% |
| Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 53 | 59¢ → 59¢ | $31 | −$0 −0.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 136 | 24¢ → 22¢ | $29 | −$3 −8.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 60 | 52¢ → 48¢ | $29 | −$2 −7.7% |
| Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Ends in 7d | Yes | 42 | 6¢ → 65¢ | $28 | +$25 +1028% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?Ends in 5d | No | 34 | 76¢ → 80¢ | $27 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 30 | 91¢ → 88¢ | $26 | −$1 −3.0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 30, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 32 | 77¢ → 81¢ | $26 | +$1 +5.7% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 60 | 33¢ → 41¢ | $24 | +$5 +23% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | No | 54 | 45¢ → 44¢ | $24 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?Ends in 27d | No | 40 | 57¢ → 59¢ | $23 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 27 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $22 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 33¢ → 41¢ | $21 | +$4 +23% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 77 | 27¢ → 27¢ | $20 | −$0 −1.9% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Ciudad Real in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 25 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $20 | +$1 +3.1% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 30, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 60 | 27¢ → 32¢ | $19 | +$3 +17% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | No | 35 | 53¢ → 53¢ | $18 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 40 | 45¢ → 46¢ | $18 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | No | 20 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $16 | −$0 −1.9% |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?Ends in 3d | No | 25 | 76¢ → 62¢ | $16 | −$3 −18% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | No | 113 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $15 | −$6 −27% |
| Will Yashar win less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | Yes | 59 | 46¢ → 26¢ | $15 | −$12 −43% |
| Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth 0.5% to 1.5%?Ends in 10d | No | 20 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $15 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will PSOE receive between 28% and 30% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 20 | 74¢ → 73¢ | $15 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 22 | 76¢ → 66¢ | $14 | −$2 −14% |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 29, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 50 | 26¢ → 28¢ | $14 | +$1 +7.7% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?Ends in 5d | Yes | 20 | 62¢ → 66¢ | $13 | +$1 +5.6% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election by 0%-4%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 40 | 27¢ → 33¢ | $13 | +$3 +24% |
| Will Carl Cooper win the next West Tamar mayoral election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 60 | 22¢ → 22¢ | $13 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Vance peak at Category 3?Ends in 12d | No | 20 | 62¢ → 64¢ | $13 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 24% to 26%?Ends in 4d | Yes | 20 | 75¢ → 63¢ | $13 | −$2 −16% |
| Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | Yes | 500 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $12 | −$6 −34% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 27 | 58¢ → 45¢ | $12 | −$4 −23% |
| Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 65¢ → 61¢ | $12 | −$1 −6.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 3%-6%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 39¢ → 30¢ | $12 | −$3 −22% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 81 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $12 | −$0 −3.3% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Jaén in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 20 | 61¢ → 58¢ | $12 | −$1 −4.9% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 60 | 1¢ → 19¢ | $11 | +$11 +2458% |
| Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Ends in 4d | Yes | 30 | 14¢ → 38¢ | $11 | +$7 +170% |
| Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 30 | 38¢ → 38¢ | $11 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 190 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 19 | 63¢ → 59¢ | $11 | −$1 −6.3% |
| Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $150M and $175M by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 57 | 11¢ → 20¢ | $11 | +$5 +85% |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in November?Ends in 27d | Yes | 32 | 33¢ → 34¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 30, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 16 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $11 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | Yes | 40 | 36¢ → 27¢ | $11 | −$4 −27% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 11 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $11 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 97 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $10 | −$1 −8.4% |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 18 | 50¢ → 54¢ | $10 | +$1 +8.0% |
| CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 89% to 90.5%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 38¢ → 45¢ | $9 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 20 | 42¢ → 43¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $9 | −$8 −47% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 55%-60%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 27¢ → 28¢ | $8 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 22 | 31¢ → 38¢ | $8 | +$1 +21% |
| Will two or more regions tie for the most teams in the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?Ends in 52d | Yes | 50 | 2¢ → 16¢ | $8 | +$7 +772% |
| Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Ends in 155d | Yes | 20 | 44¢ → 41¢ | $8 | −$1 −8.0% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 170 and 174 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 80 | 5¢ → 10¢ | $8 | +$4 +91% |
| Will Junts win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 25 | 35¢ → 30¢ | $8 | −$1 −14% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 30, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 11 | 73¢ → 70¢ | $7 | −$0 −4.1% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?Ends in 5d | Yes | 79 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in Jaén in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 20 | 32¢ → 36¢ | $7 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.5% or more in September?Ends in 5d | Yes | 145 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $7 | −$7 −48% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 13¢ → 17¢ | $7 | +$2 +32% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 30 | 19¢ → 23¢ | $7 | +$1 +20% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 15%-18%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 53 | 21¢ → 13¢ | $7 | −$4 −40% |
| Will Yashar win 18-20% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | Yes | 40 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $7 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 60 | 20¢ → 11¢ | $7 | −$5 −45% |
| Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 77 | 13¢ → 8¢ | $6 | −$3 −35% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in León in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 40 | 4¢ → 16¢ | $6 | +$5 +262% |
| Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 33¢ → 31¢ | $6 | −$0 −6.1% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 20 | 35¢ → 30¢ | $6 | −$1 −16% |
| Will One Nation win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Ends in 155d | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 28¢ | $6 | +$1 +14% |
| Will ERC win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 28¢ | $6 | +$0 +3.7% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 180 and 184 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 43 | 20¢ → 13¢ | $5 | −$3 −37% |
| Will voter turnout be between 70% and 72% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 20 | 20¢ → 27¢ | $5 | +$1 +33% |
| Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?Ends in 9d | Yes | 39 | 16¢ → 14¢ | $5 | −$1 −14% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | Yes | 407 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$28 −85% |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?Ends in 30d | Yes | 40 | 15¢ → 12¢ | $5 | −$1 −20% |
| Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Ends in 4d | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 24¢ | $5 | +$4 +1036% |
| Will LPL have the most teams in the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?Ends in 52d | Yes | 100 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$1 −22% |
| Will Troy Jackson run 6 to 9 points behind Hannah Pingree?Ends in 11d | Yes | 14 | 28¢ → 33¢ | $5 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on October 30, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 40 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $5 | −$1 −12% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election by 4%-8%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 23¢ | $5 | −$1 −17% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 60 | 12¢ → 8¢ | $5 | −$2 −35% |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 32 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 60%-65%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 23¢ | $5 | −$1 −10% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$8 −63% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 39 | 18¢ → 12¢ | $4 | −$2 −34% |
| Will Yashar win 20-22% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | Yes | 40 | 16¢ → 11¢ | $4 | −$2 −31% |
