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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $900 | 1% | — | −5 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↑ $760 | 48% | +42 pts | +3 pts | 1¢ · 95¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↑ $860 | 1% | −2 pts | −5 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $3K | in 8d |
| ↑ $840 | 3% | 0 pts | −8 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | $2.63K | in 8d |
| ↓ $620 | 51% | +9 pts | +34 pts | 45¢ · 57¢ (12¢) | $1.45K | in 8d |
| ↑ $740 | 5% | −1 pts | −56 pts | 3¢ · 7¢ (4¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↑ $880 | 1% | −2 pts | −7 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $771 | in 8d |
| ↑ $680 | 57% | +26 pts | — | 17¢ · 97¢ (80¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↓ $600 | 20% | +2 pts | +10 pts | 17¢ · 22¢ (5¢) | $500 | in 8d |
| ↑ $800 | 3% | −2 pts | −15 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | $462 | in 8d |
| ↑ $820 | 1% | −5 pts | −15 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $337 | in 8d |
| ↑ $780 | 5% | −1 pts | −29 pts | — · 9¢ | $86 | in 8d |
| ↑ $720 | 6% | −4 pts | −80 pts | 3¢ · 8¢ (5¢) | $84.9 | in 8d |
| ↓ $580 | 7% | −1 pts | — | 5¢ · 9¢ (4¢) | $75.8 | in 8d |
| ↑ $700 | 10% | −4 pts | — | 6¢ · 13¢ (7¢) | $60.1 | in 8d |
| ↑ $660 | 51% | −14 pts | — | 48¢ · 53¢ (5¢) | $33 | in 8d |
| ↓ $560 | 4% | −1 pts | — | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↓ $540 | 3% | −1 pts | — | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↓ $640 | 68% | — | — | 36¢ · 99¢ (63¢) | — | in 8d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20h | Pellepele | ↑ $840 | BuyNo>99¢ → 97¢ | $1,908 | −$51 −2.7% | 4 |
| 20h | bZk0Uo | ↑ $860 | BuyNo99¢ | $1,160 | −$5 −0.4% | 5 |
| 2d | Pellepele | ↑ $860 | BuyNo99¢ | $1,388 | −$2 −0.1% | 5 |
| 2d | Pellepele | ↑ $880 | BuyNo99¢ | $2,249 | +$6 +0.3% | 5 |
| 10d | cryptoincome | ↑ $900 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$67 +6.6% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 1¢ for ↑ $900 means the market gives it about 1%.