0x827d…c558

Polymarket wallet 0x827d37fbb0e2f9b83907512e7e213e97a9bbc558

Positions now worth: $53.5
All-time profit: +$46.7
Volume traded: $50.4K
All-time rank: #315,138
Markets traded: 2,034
Recent hit rate: 94%47 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $29.5

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Ahmad Hardy win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Ends ended	Yes	10	<1¢ → 12¢	$1	+$1 +6031%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 5%-15%?Ends in 11d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 10¢	$1	+$1 +4955%
Will Julia Stiles win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 68d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 6¢	$1	+$1 +2903%
Will Antoine Semenyo score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 238d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 6¢	$1	+$1 +2652%
Will Michael be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 68d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 5¢	$1	+$1 +2502%
Will All of a Sudden win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 5¢	$1	+$0 +2427%
Will Denmark win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Ends in 233d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 5¢	$0	+$0 +2300%
Will Wayne Rooney be the next head coach of the England national team?Ends in 68d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 5¢	$0	+$0 +2251%
Will Ismael Saibari score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 238d	Yes	25	<1¢ → 2¢	$0	+$0 +827%
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	75	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +175%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $900 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	75	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +175%
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be at least 5.5%?Ends in 100d	Yes	67	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +200%
Will Team Secret Whales Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?Ends in 36d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +300%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 4¢	$0	+$0 +1933%
Will Bo Jackson win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Ends ended	Yes	10	<1¢ → 4¢	$0	+$0 +1826%
Will Yoaz Hendel receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Ends in 4d	Yes	75	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +150%
Will Xiaomi be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 8d	Yes	75	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +150%
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	75	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +150%
Will Amir Ohana receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Ends in 4d	Yes	75	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +150%
Will Democrats win the Texas Governor election and Republicans win the Texas Senate election?Ends in 11d	Yes	67	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +175%
Will Veljko Simic score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 238d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 4¢	$0	+$0 +1701%
Will Artem Dovbyk be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Ends in 233d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 4¢	$0	+$0 +1676%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +250%
Will Baidu be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	64	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +175%
Will Bytedance be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	64	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +175%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90,000 on October 25?Ends in 15h	Yes	75	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +125%
Will Seoul have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 76d	Yes	75	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +125%
Will Nir Barkat receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Ends in 4d	Yes	75	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +125%
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	74	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +125%
Will Podemos win the most seats in Jaén in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d	Yes	55	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +200%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-15 House election by 0%-10%?Ends in 11d	Yes	3	<1¢ → 10¢	$0	+$0 +5107%
Will Ofer Winter receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Ends in 4d	Yes	75	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +100%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 5% or more?Ends in 11d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 3¢	$0	+$0 +1400%
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 7 and December 13, 2026?Ends in 51d	Yes	5	<1¢ → 6¢	$0	+$0 +2900%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $820 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	54	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +175%
Will Vinícius Júnior score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 238d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 3¢	$0	+$0 +1351%
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d	Yes	35	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +300%
Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 365d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +175%
Will Gilad Erdan receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Ends in 4d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +175%
Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin <22%?Ends in 4d	Yes	55	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +150%
Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth 29%+?Ends in 26d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +175%
Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 5.5%+?Ends in 26d	Yes	49	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +175%
Will Malachi Hosley be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?Ends in 72d	Yes	5	<1¢ → 5¢	$0	+$0 +2554%
Will Itamar Ben Gvir receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Ends in 4d	Yes	75	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +75%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	75	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +75%
Will Nikola Krstovic be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Ends in 233d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 3¢	$0	+$0 +1201%
Will Julián Álvarez score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 238d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 3¢	$0	+$0 +1151%
Will Finland win the UEFA EURO 2028?Ends ended	Yes	10	<1¢ → 3¢	$0	+$0 +1151%
Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +150%
Will Yair Golan receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Ends in 4d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +150%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +150%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?Ends in 434d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +150%
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +150%
Will Bukayo Saka score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 238d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 2¢	$0	+$0 +1126%
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 4 and January 10, 2027?Ends in 79d	Yes	9	<1¢ → 3¢	$0	+$0 +1207%
Will Benjamin Šeško score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 238d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 2¢	$0	+$0 +1051%
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,146,000 and $1,165,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d	Yes	45	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +150%
Will Qwen have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d	Yes	45	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +150%
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $700B and $800B at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +125%
Will Ayelet Shaked receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Ends in 4d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +125%
Will Yariv Levin receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Ends in 4d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +125%
Will Artificial win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +125%
Will Gideon Sa’ar receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Ends in 4d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +125%
Will OpenAI’s valuation be less than $600B at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +125%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026?Ends in 2d	Yes	75	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +50%
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d	Yes	75	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +50%
Will Hogan Gidley be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d	Yes	26	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +325%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $880 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	37	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +200%
Will Paulo Dybala score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 238d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 2¢	$0	+$0 +1000%
Will "Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31?Ends in 4d	Yes	43	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +150%
Will ByteDance have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d	Yes	48	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +125%
Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election?Ends in 4d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 2¢	$0	+$0 +975%
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 11 and January 17, 2027?Ends in 86d	Yes	39	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +175%
Will Thinky be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 8d	Yes	71	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +50%
Will Billie Eilish be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 100d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 2¢	$0	+$0 +950%
Will Z.ai have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d	Yes	42	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +150%
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d	Yes	2	<1¢ → 9¢	$0	+$0 +4380%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +100%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?Ends in 15h	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +100%
Will Yossi Cohen receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Ends in 4d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +100%
Will Stephen Curry win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?Ends in 250d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +100%
Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +100%
Will Benny Gantz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Ends in 4d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +100%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 10,500,000 and 11,000,000?Ends in 11d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +100%
Will Tencent be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 8d	Yes	36	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +175%
Will Slovenia win the UEFA EURO 2028?Ends ended	Yes	10	<1¢ → 2¢	$0	+$0 +875%
Will MiniMax have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d	Yes	42	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +125%
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in October?Ends in 18d	Yes	25	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +276%
Will StepFun be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d	Yes	75	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +25%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Ends in 10d	Yes	75	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +25%
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?Ends in 36d	Yes	75	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +25%
Will "Clayface" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 2d	Yes	75	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +25%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 25?Ends in 15h	Yes	75	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +25%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	75	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +25%
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	75	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Ends in 11d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 2¢	$0	+$0 +800%
Will Tencent have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d	Yes	33	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +175%
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 2¢	$0	+$0 +804%
Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d	Yes	10	<1¢ → 2¢	$0	+$0 +775%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $700B on October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	47	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +75%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
32m	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of October 2026?	SellYes1¢	$0
32m	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?	SellYes1¢	$0
35m	Will 9z Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
39m	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
39m	Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1h	Will PP win the most seats in Gipuzkoa in the 2026 Spanish general election?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Will Alexander Albon win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?	SellYes1¢	$0
2h	Will Podemos win the most seats in Jaén in the 2026 Spanish general election?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will Democrats win the Texas Governor election and Republicans win the Texas Senate election?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will Alex Karaban win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will Alex Karaban win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will Alex Karaban win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	SellYes1¢	$0
3h	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	SellYes1¢	$0
3h	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 11 and January 17, 2027?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 18 and January 24, 2027?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 3, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 30, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 4, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 11, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 9, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 24, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	SellYes1¢	$0
3h	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 19-25?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
4h	Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
4h	Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
4h	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
4h	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
4h	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026?	SellYes1¢	$1
5h	Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
5h	Will Democrats win the Texas Governor election and Republicans win the Texas Senate election?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
5h	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 19-25?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
5h	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
5h	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	SellYes1¢	$0
5h	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 24, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
6h	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?	SellYes1¢	$0
6h	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 19-25?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
6h	Will Podemos win the most seats in Jaén in the 2026 Spanish general election?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
6h	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
6h	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of October 2026?	SellYes1¢	$0
6h	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of October 2026?	SellYes1¢	$0

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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