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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $3.40 | 0% | −22 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $3.20 | 100% | +50 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $2.60 | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $2.90 | 0% | −4 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $3.00 | 100% | +8 pts | +39 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $2.70 | 0% | −3 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $2.80 | 0% | −3 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4.00 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $2.50 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $2.40 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $3.60 | 0% | −2 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4.20 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $3.80 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $2.20 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $1.80 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $1.60 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $2.00 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $2.80 | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147d | ↓ $2.50 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,244 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 147d | Xgs | ↑ $3.40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,079 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 147d | ↓ $2.60 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,980 | −$7 −0.1% | — | |
| 147d | ↑ $3.40 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $48,524 | +$1,116 +2.3% | 4 | |
| 147d | ↓ $2.80 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,707 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 147d | ↓ $2.70 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,213 | +$91 +1.3% | 4 | |
| 147d | ↓ $2.40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,326 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 147d | ↓ $2.60 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $8,190 | +$1,373 +17% | 4 | |
| 147d | ↑ $3.60 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,251 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 147d | ↓ $2.90 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,615 | +$16 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 147d | C03B | ↑ $3.40 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,133 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 148d | C03B | ↑ $3.40 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $26,347 | +$7,004 +27% | 8 |
| 149d | ↑ $3.20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,058 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 149d | Started-with-20-USD | ↑ $3.20 | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $1,701 | −$1,701 −100% | 6 |
| 149d | C03B | ↓ $2.70 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | +$67 +5.3% | 4 |
| 153d | Hugo459440 | ↑ $3.40 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,086 | +$338 +16% | 4 |
| 153d | Hugo459440 | ↑ $3.60 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,724 | +$121 +7.0% | 4 |
| 154d | ↓ $2.90 | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | −$998 −100% | — | |
| 154d | Harsh-Caravan | ↓ $2.90 | SellYes41¢ → 0¢ | $4,325 | +$4,325 +100% | — |
| 154d | Harsh-Caravan2 fills | ↓ $2.90 | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $6,445 | −$6,445 −100% | 8 |
| 155d | C03B4 fills | ↑ $3.20 | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $8,519 | −$2,325 −27% | — |
| 156d | C03B2 fills | ↑ $3.20 | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $8,276 | +$4,216 +51% | 4 |
| 157d | ↑ $3.20 | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | −$256 −20% | — | |
| 158d | C03B | ↑ $3.40 | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $1,075 | −$1,075 −100% | 4 |
| 159d | ↑ $3.00 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,564 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 159d | Started-with-20-USD | ↑ $3.00 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$16 +1.4% | 4 |
| 163d | C03B | ↑ $3.00 | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | −$325 −30% | — |
| 164d | C03B | ↑ $3.00 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $3,004 | +$937 +31% | 4 |
| 164d | ↑ $4.00 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,759 | −$16 −0.9% | — | |
| 166d | Harsh-Caravan | ↓ $2.60 | BuyNo37¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$1,879 +168% | 4 |
| 170d | C03B2 fills | ↓ $2.60 | SellYes81¢ → 0¢ | $8,290 | +$8,290 +100% | — |
| 171d | C03B | ↓ $2.60 | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $11,151 | −$11,151 −100% | 4 |
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ $3.40 means the market gives it about 0%.