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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carbon 5+ times | 0% | — | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Capacity | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Quarter 10+ times | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fiscal 10+ times | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Margin 5+ times | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Income 10+ times | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| Infrastructure | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Profit 10+ times | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| Revenue 10+ times | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Monopoly | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · 4¢ | — | ended |
| Packaging | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Demand 10+ times | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Win | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Surge | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Lawsuit | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90d | iuH1398SI | Carbon 5+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,248 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 90d |  yen4u2 fills | Carbon 5+ times | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,451 | −$316 −2.5% | — |
| 92d | countbinface33 | Carbon 5+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 92d | Unfinished-July | Carbon 5+ times | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,363 | +$123 +9.0% | 20 |
| 92d | jklsjdwoqejasdf2 fills | Carbon 5+ times | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,243 | −$774 −18% | — |
| 92d | yen4u3 fills | Carbon 5+ times | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,476 | +$622 +14% | 20 |
| 92d |  aenews2 | Carbon 5+ times | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,534 | −$140 −5.5% | — |
| 92d | aenews22 fills | Carbon 5+ times | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $30,207 | +$1,969 +6.5% | 20 |
| 92d |  xcvsgdd | Carbon 5+ times | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,207 | −$245 −11% | — |
| 92d | almostunmarried | Carbon 5+ times | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,745 | +$92 +5.3% | 20 |
| 92d | jklsjdwoqejasdf | Carbon 5+ times | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,084 | +$473 +12% | 20 |
| 93d |  peterfromfamilyguy | Carbon 5+ times | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,537 | +$270 +18% | 20 |
| 93d |  Brokie | Carbon 5+ times | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,987 | −$1,987 −100% | 30 |
| 93d | pretzel | Carbon 5+ times | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | +$1,250 +100% | — |
| 93d |  Rex416 | Carbon 5+ times | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | +$143 +12% | 23 |
| 93d | 0xf243 | Capacity | SellYes>99¢ | $1,057 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 93d | 0xf243 | China | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$42 +3.5% | 21 |
| 93d | 0xf243 | Capacity | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$18 +1.6% | 20 |
yesworld28190,000 sharesBrokie10,020 shares
Barboncino3,238 shares
GodRama2,072 sharesThis market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Carbon 5+ times means the market gives it about 0%.