| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 10d | No | 10,000 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $9,250 | +$110 +1.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 13,137 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $8,342 | +$4 +0.0% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 4h | No | 8,000 | 65¢ → 69¢ | $5,480 | +$290 +5.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 10d | Yes | 7,800 | 63¢ → 67¢ | $5,187 | +$273 +5.6% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 5,076 | 68¢ → 91¢ | $4,632 | +$1,166 +34% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5,222 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $3,264 | −$98 −2.9% |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Ends in 68d | No | 3,300 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $3,020 | −$17 −0.5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 2,546 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $2,535 | +$89 +3.6% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 2,826 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $2,331 | +$133 +6.0% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 35d | No | 3,651 | 57¢ → 62¢ | $2,276 | +$180 +8.6% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 36d | No | 3,141 | 66¢ → 65¢ | $2,026 | −$47 −2.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 5,883 | 39¢ → 32¢ | $1,853 | −$441 −19% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2,062 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $1,815 | +$104 +6.1% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 2,695 | 65¢ → 67¢ | $1,806 | +$66 +3.8% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 98d | No | 1,897 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $1,736 | +$40 +2.3% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 52d | Yes | 2,318 | 75¢ → 74¢ | $1,704 | −$46 −2.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 1,812 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $1,504 | +$96 +6.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 67d | Yes | 3,608 | 66¢ → 41¢ | $1,461 | −$923 −39% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 4,000 | 36¢ → 35¢ | $1,400 | −$40 −2.8% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 2,143 | 70¢ → 56¢ | $1,189 | −$311 −21% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 5,433 | 20¢ → 17¢ | $896 | −$169 −16% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 897 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $745 | +$45 +6.4% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 433d | Yes | 1,012 | 46¢ → 64¢ | $649 | +$184 +40% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 2,905 | 24¢ → 22¢ | $625 | −$78 −11% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 1,500 | 33¢ → 38¢ | $563 | +$68 +14% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 746 | 65¢ → 65¢ | $485 | −$0 −0.1% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,439 | 36¢ → 30¢ | $432 | −$81 −16% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,748 | 19¢ → 24¢ | $411 | +$82 +25% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 10d | No | 1,698 | 27¢ → 24¢ | $399 | −$64 −14% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 22d | No | 772 | 46¢ → 52¢ | $398 | +$41 +11% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 860 | 36¢ → 41¢ | $348 | +$39 +12% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 464 | 54¢ → 70¢ | $323 | +$73 +29% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 3,586 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $305 | −$90 −23% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Ends in 433d | No | 268 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $266 | +$33 +14% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 277 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $242 | +$26 +12% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 6d | No | 1,667 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $242 | −$8 −3.3% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,336 | 56¢ → 18¢ | $240 | −$512 −68% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 318 | 45¢ → 75¢ | $239 | +$95 +67% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 243 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $214 | −$5 −2.2% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 2,558 | 15¢ → 8¢ | $196 | −$197 −50% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 202 | 77¢ → 80¢ | $161 | +$4 +2.6% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 261 | 48¢ → 56¢ | $145 | +$20 +16% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 142 | 82¢ → 98¢ | $139 | +$23 +19% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,638 | 14¢ → 9¢ | $139 | −$90 −39% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 433d | Yes | 492 | 42¢ → 26¢ | $128 | −$79 −38% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 584 | 19¢ → 22¢ | $125 | +$13 +11% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 214 | 57¢ → 57¢ | $123 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 3,000 | 15¢ → 4¢ | $111 | −$339 −75% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 146 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $110 | −$2 −1.9% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 539 | 9¢ → 16¢ | $84 | +$34 +67% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 85 | 45¢ → 91¢ | $78 | +$39 +102% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 14?Ends ended | Yes | 126 | 75¢ → 49¢ | $61 | −$34 −36% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 572 | 13¢ → 10¢ | $54 | −$20 −27% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 3,290 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $48 | −$5 −9.3% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 38 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $33 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 322 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $19 | −$4 −16% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?Ends in 433d | Yes | 494 | 35¢ → 3¢ | $15 | −$158 −91% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 110 | 26¢ → 12¢ | $13 | −$16 −55% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 624 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $9 | −$9 −51% |
| Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 93¢ → 84¢ | $8 | −$1 −9.7% |
| Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?Ends in 84d | Yes | 10 | 77¢ → 81¢ | $8 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Graham Platner divorce by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 600 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $7 | −$35 −84% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 67d | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → 29¢ | $6 | −$0 −3.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | Yes | 2,316 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $6 | −$15 −72% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 6d | Yes | 73 | 33¢ → 7¢ | $5 | −$19 −80% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 6d | Yes | 8 | 50¢ → 36¢ | $3 | −$1 −29% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,039 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,485 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 92 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,976 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$458 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 546 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$317 −100% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$160 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,400 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$152 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,693 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$628 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,000 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$480 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,809 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$580 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 130 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Alaska" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| 1H Spread: Panthers (-4.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Panthers | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,551 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$289 −100% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 960 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$103 −100% |
| Lions vs. PanthersSettled - ready to redeem | Lions | 19 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,463 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$86 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,100 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$595 −100% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$240 −100% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13,177 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$590 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 278 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 955 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |