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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil/Gas | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tehran | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 749d | ASRT | Tehran | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,439 | −$19 −1.3% | — |
| 749d | ASRT | Nuclear | SellNo>99¢ | $1,490 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 749d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Tehran | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,081 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 750d | AAAAaaaahhhh2 fills | Oil/Gas | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $5,655 | +$998 +18% | 8 |
| 750d | ASRT | Tehran | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$83 +6.0% | 6 |
| 750d | jl3128776 | Tehran | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$100 +4.2% | 5 |
| 750d |  HighRoller | Tehran | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$151 +7.5% | 6 |
| 750d | HighRoller | Nuclear | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$151 +7.5% | 6 |
| 750d | rookiee | Nuclear | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | −$102 −8.8% | — |
| 750d | Unwitting-Hockey | Oil/Gas | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,517 | +$379 +25% | 7 |
| 751d | rookiee | Nuclear | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$124 +11% | 6 |
| 751d |  ImJustKen | Nuclear | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,756 | +$187 +11% | 6 |
| 751d | Bink_72 fills | Nuclear | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,128 | −$481 −15% | — |
| 751d | AXX | Oil/Gas | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$467 +47% | 9 |
| 752d | ASRT | Nuclear | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$204 +16% | 6 |
This is a market on potential targets of Israeli operations within Iran.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Oil/Gas means the market gives it about 0%.