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Polymarket wallet 0x41d1173f2c372fea24fdf6e69bd9836b5a5a88eb · on Polymarket since Aug 29, 2024 · also shown as Safe-Solidarity
samson plan
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel target an Iranian oil or gas facility?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 147 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Iran military response before October?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 146 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 403 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 729 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 750d | Will Israel target an Iranian oil or gas facility? | BuyYes15¢ | $22 |
| 750d | Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31? | SellYes16¢ | $23 |
| 765d | No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $13 |
| 765d | Iran military response before October? | SellYes8¢ | $11 |
| 765d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $15 |
| 765d | Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30? | SellYes7¢ | $16 |
| 785d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyYes11¢ | $10 |
| 785d | Will Donald Trump say "Pavel" or "Durov" during Michigan town hall? | SellYes9¢ | $8 |
| 785d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyYes9¢ | $28 |
| 785d | Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31? | SellYes49¢ | $25 |
| 785d | Will Donald Trump say "Pavel" or "Durov" during Michigan town hall? | BuyYes11¢ | $10 |
| 785d | Iran military response before October? | BuyYes35¢ | $100 |
| 785d | Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31? | BuyYes52¢ | $100 |
| 785d | Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30? | BuyYes33¢ | $75 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.