| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 26,898 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $22,460 | +$3 +0.0% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 18,516 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $17,127 | +$566 +3.4% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 20,000 | 50¢ → 80¢ | $15,990 | +$5,990 +60% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 11,055 | 74¢ → 92¢ | $10,116 | +$1,935 +24% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10,000 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $9,250 | +$150 +1.6% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 10,000 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $9,250 | +$150 +1.6% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 7,076 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $6,135 | −$27 −0.4% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 20,000 | 50¢ → 20¢ | $4,010 | −$5,990 −60% |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3,319 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $2,871 | +$148 +5.4% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4,584 | 60¢ → 61¢ | $2,796 | +$32 +1.2% |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Ends in 128d | No | 2,718 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $2,688 | +$46 +1.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 3,000 | 73¢ → 82¢ | $2,445 | +$255 +12% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 5,228 | 28¢ → 46¢ | $2,415 | +$951 +65% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 27,521 | 30¢ → 8¢ | $2,064 | −$6,238 −75% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2,075 | 73¢ → 86¢ | $1,785 | +$271 +18% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5,870 | 21¢ → 27¢ | $1,585 | +$376 +31% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 1,500 | 74¢ → 73¢ | $1,095 | −$15 −1.4% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,000 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $969 | +$3 +0.3% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 124,987 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $937 | −$424 −31% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 960 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $907 | +$23 +2.6% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,294 | 62¢ → 62¢ | $805 | +$4 +0.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,000 | 65¢ → 67¢ | $665 | +$15 +2.3% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 502 | 75¢ → 93¢ | $470 | +$93 +25% |
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 3,000 | 14¢ → 15¢ | $451 | +$31 +7.5% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 500 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $380 | +$8 +2.0% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 502 | 60¢ → 75¢ | $374 | +$75 +25% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 457 | 25¢ → 64¢ | $293 | +$178 +156% |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $292 | +$13 +4.6% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 75¢ → 87¢ | $261 | +$36 +16% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 488 | 33¢ → 54¢ | $261 | +$100 +62% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 1,200 | 29¢ → 22¢ | $258 | −$90 −26% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 2,000 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $210 | −$50 −19% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4,544 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $184 | −$233 −56% |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 81¢ → 88¢ | $176 | +$14 +8.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 500 | 35¢ → 34¢ | $170 | −$5 −2.9% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 171 | 66¢ → 98¢ | $168 | +$55 +48% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | Yes | 200 | 89¢ → 84¢ | $167 | −$11 −6.2% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 1,000 | 29¢ → 17¢ | $165 | −$125 −43% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 176 | 33¢ → 88¢ | $154 | +$95 +163% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 3,056 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $147 | −$9 −6.1% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 629 | 26¢ → 20¢ | $123 | −$43 −26% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 234 | 13¢ → 40¢ | $94 | +$63 +200% |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 71 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $67 | +$7 +11% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 213 | 63¢ → 23¢ | $48 | −$85 −64% |
| Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 30 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $29 | +$1 +3.2% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 128 | 26¢ → 9¢ | $12 | −$22 −65% |
| Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | Yes | 330 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $6 | −$10 −63% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 10,117 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$20 −80% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 307 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$5 −75% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 19 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$0 −33% |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 30 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$2 −81% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 453 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$295 −100% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60,000 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15,000 −100% |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 84 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 45 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75,000 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18,750 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 162,665 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9,660 −100% |
| Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,099 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$614 −100% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 381 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 107,326 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,554 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$266 −100% |
| World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 510 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,562 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 519 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 173 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 453 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,727 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 300 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem | Conor McGregor | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 228 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60,000 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15,000 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,231 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$590 −100% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 245 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026Settled - ready to redeem | No | 28 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis CardinalsSettled - ready to redeem | Baltimore Orioles | 100 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75,000 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18,750 −100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 499 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 79 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 345 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 63 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,707 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$460 −100% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 209 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 207 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 107,326 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,472 −100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60,000 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15,000 −100% |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 64 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 120 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
