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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia / Ukraine | 79% | — | — | 78¢ · 80¢ (2¢) | $785 | in 2d |
| Marxist | 47% | — | — | 33¢ · 61¢ (28¢) | $669 | in 2d |
| China / Chinese 7+ times | 50% | — | — | 46¢ · 54¢ (8¢) | $663 | in 2d |
| Osama Bin Laden | 50% | — | — | 42¢ · 57¢ (15¢) | $486 | in 2d |
| SI / Super Intelligence | 61% | — | — | 58¢ · 63¢ (5¢) | $425 | in 2d |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $345 | in 2d |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 2% | — | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $319 | in 2d |
| Canada 4+ times | 68% | — | — | 63¢ · 72¢ (9¢) | $296 | in 2d |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 28% | — | — | 26¢ · 30¢ (4¢) | $257 | in 2d |
| Electric / Electricity | 55% | — | — | 50¢ · 59¢ (9¢) | $190 | in 2d |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | 51% | — | — | 34¢ · 67¢ (33¢) | $150 | in 2d |
| Maduro | 42% | — | — | 18¢ · 65¢ (47¢) | $133 | in 2d |
| Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times | 47% | — | — | 44¢ · 50¢ (6¢) | $119 | in 2d |
| Ass | 51% | — | — | 49¢ · 53¢ (4¢) | $61 | in 2d |
| Hormuz / Blockade | 72% | — | — | 70¢ · 74¢ (4¢) | $59.6 | in 2d |
| Fentanyl / Deport / Deported | 32% | — | — | 23¢ · 41¢ (18¢) | $52 | in 2d |
| Hell 15+ times | 53% | — | — | 50¢ · 55¢ (5¢) | $46.2 | in 2d |
| Transgender 7+ times | 55% | — | — | 52¢ · 57¢ (5¢) | $17.6 | in 2d |
| Palestine / Palestinian | 24% | — | — | 4¢ · 44¢ (40¢) | — | in 2d |
| Data Center | 26% | — | — | 5¢ · 47¢ (42¢) | — | in 2d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in St. Clair, Michigan on October 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-st-clair-mi-president-donald-j-trump-djt47) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Michigan on October 26, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 79¢ for Russia / Ukraine means the market gives it about 79%.