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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smart / High IQ | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −94 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BLM / Black Lives Matter | 0% | −91 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jesse / Jackson | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Black American 5+ times | 100% | −41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Stock Market | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hottest | 100% | −62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Slave / Slavery | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gas / Gasoline | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Beautiful 5+ times | 100% | −45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Patriot / Hero | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crime | 100% | −40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Black Vote | 0% | −65 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Love Trump | 0% | −74 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hat / MAGA | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Golf / Golfer | 0% | −72 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| VoterID / Voter ID | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Television / TV | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Congress / Shutdown | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Midterm | 0% | −68 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 247d |  1BeaNataTime | Tariff | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,394 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 247d |  beenraping2 fills | Smart / High IQ | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,753 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 247d | beenraping | BLM / Black Lives Matter | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,456 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 247d | Trustinghorse3 fills | BLM / Black Lives Matter | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,684 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 247d | Trustinghorse4 fills | Smart / High IQ | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,005 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 |
| 247d | stablegenius573 | BLM / Black Lives Matter | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,134 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 247d | Trustinghorse | Tariff | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,102 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 247d | Trustinghorse2 fills | Slave / Slavery | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,695 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 247d | Trustinghorse2 fills | Black American 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,827 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 247d |  HowToBasic | Smart / High IQ | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 247d | beenraping | Love Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,399 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 247d |  smellyEllie2 fills | Smart / High IQ | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,889 | +$268 +6.9% | 20 |
| 247d |  Kinganibus | Smart / High IQ | SellYes>99¢ | $1,505 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 247d | MistahFox2 fills | Smart / High IQ | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,895 | +$37 +0.4% | 20 |
| 247d | Trustinghorse3 fills | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,563 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 247d |  charliegooseman | Smart / High IQ | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | −$30 −1.0% | — |
| 247d |  bamesjond4 fills | Smart / High IQ | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $13,840 | +$1,489 +11% | 20 |
| 247d | 0x955c…990f2 fills | Smart / High IQ | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $6,247 | +$673 +11% | 20 |
| 247d | Kinganibus | Smart / High IQ | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,967 | +$367 +12% | 20 |
| 247d | Threadbare-Signal | Border | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 247d |  Dragontree | Crypto / Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $5,512 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 247d | bamesjond | Smart / High IQ | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,666 | −$1,666 −100% | 20 |
| 247d | Trustinghorse | Beautiful 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,526 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 247d | Trustinghorse | Gas / Gasoline | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,774 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 247d | Trustinghorse | Stock Market | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 247d | Trustinghorse | Border | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,222 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 247d |  noreasapa | Crime | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,418 | +$43 +1.8% | 20 |
| 247d | Trustinghorse | Hottest | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 247d |  GollumGekko | Stock Market | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,502 | +$52 +2.1% | 20 |
| 247d |  Bertapotamous | Hottest | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,420 | +$30 +2.1% | 20 |
| 247d | Trustinghorse | Patriot / Hero | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,114 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 247d | Dragontree | BLM / Black Lives Matter | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,542 | +$125 +8.1% | 20 |
| 248d |  Tenebrus7 | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,295 | +$274 +6.4% | 20 |
| 248d | Dragontree | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,700 | +$300 +6.4% | 20 |
PlasticLove2,000 shares
Anjun221 shares
goBig-or-goHome100 shares
Awestin.eth55 sharesDonald Trump is set to participate in the Black History Month reception on February 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on February 18, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a Black History Month Reception" on February 18, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "-No Qualifying Event-". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Smart / High IQ means the market gives it about 100%.