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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vote 30+ times | 100% | +78 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pocahontas | 100% | +7 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Missile Defense Shield | 100% | +9 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| McDonald's | 100% | +9 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Women's Sports | 100% | +6 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tax 20+ times | 0% | −25 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Weave | 100% | +70 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Frack/Fracking 4+ times | 0% | −79 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mars | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hung Cao | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Capone | 0% | −58 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| American Dream 3+ times | 100% | +43 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Russia 3+ times | 100% | +33 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 10+ times | 0% | −21 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John McGuire | 100% | +17 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Peanut/Squirrel | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Melania | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 720d |  Car2 fills | Vote 30+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,095 | +$21 +0.1% | 20 |
| 720d | longtern | Vote 30+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,750 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 720d | VvVv | Vote 30+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 720d | ssxeet | Vote 30+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,087 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 720d | CompulsiveGambler | Vote 30+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 720d | rpo | Vote 30+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,113 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 720d | grappli | Vote 30+ times | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,128 | +$430 +20% | 20 |
| 720d |  exit-liqudity2 fills | Vote 30+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $2,097 | −$2,097 −100% | 20 |
| 720d | StudentMoney | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,498 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 720d |  Mrmarket334 | Weave | SellYes>99¢ | $1,981 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 720d | Mrmarket334 | Capone | SellNo>99¢ | $1,574 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 720d | hi4m | Tax 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,259 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 720d |  Anon1792681 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,009 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 720d |  AgricultureSecretary | Border 20+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,307 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 720d | ssxeet | Pocahontas | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,155 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 720d |  mango-lassi | Women's Sports | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,048 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 720d | EscalateFund | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,635 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 720d |  Parz1vaI | Border 30+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,060 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 720d | mango-lassi | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,472 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 720d |  SiO2 | Border 20+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,415 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 720d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Missile Defense Shield | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | +$108 +8.7% | 20 |
| 720d | Parz1vaI | Border 20+ times | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$186 +16% | 20 |
| 720d |  romanroy | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 720d | Miserly-SentenceNew account | Peanut/Squirrel | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 28 |
| 720d |  Axios | Weave | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | +$142 +9.1% | 20 |
| 720d | Mrmarket334 | Weave | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$1,303 +109% | 20 |
| 720d |  xoxoxololxo | Tampon | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,261 | +$74 +2.3% | 20 |
| 720d |  Asherwow | Border 30+ times | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$638 +8.0% | 20 |
| 720d |  Wallonie4Congress | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,273 | +$110 +2.6% | 20 |
| 721d | Tonyy102 fills | Border 20+ times | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $2,180 | −$2,180 −100% | 30 |
| 721d |  Iana | Capone | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$384 +38% | 29 |
| 721d | romanroy | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | +$35 +2.7% | 21 |
| 721d |  Mr-Yolos3 fills | Tampon | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,984 | +$315 +4.0% | 21 |
| 721d | Mr-Yolos2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,698 | +$266 +3.1% | 21 |
This is a market on predicting terms used by Trump during his rally in Salem, Virginia scheduled for November 2, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto/Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.