Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Autopen / Auto Pen | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Transgender | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala | 100% | +60 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Six Seven | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| No No No | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cuba / Cigar | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Green Day / Bad Bunny | 0% | −16 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hat | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| TikTok | 0% | −8 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Submarine / Helicopter | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Armada | 100% | +76 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Stagflation | 0% | −8 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden's War | 0% | −9 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anarchist | 0% | −10 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nicki / Nikki / Rapper | 0% | −9 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hellhole | 0% | −14 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 257d | Trustinghorse | TikTok | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,278 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 257d |  PredictionYogi | Stagflation | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,925 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 257d | chocolate123 | Nicki / Nikki / Rapper | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,159 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 259d | ForFamily2 fills | Kamala | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,463 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 259d | 0xB29304109238401 | Kamala | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,312 | +$324 +25% | 25 |
| 260d |  NeoSay10 | Transgender | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,511 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 260d | Threadbare-Signal | Transgender | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,657 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 260d | Michael5289 | Transgender | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,308 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 261d | djkhfdufgrt344443 fills | Kamala | SellNo49¢ → 0¢ | $142,120 | +$142K +100% | — |
| 261d | Trustinghorse | No No No | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,277 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 261d | djkhfdufgrt344443 fills | Kamala | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $142,120 | −$142K −100% | 26 |
| 261d | Threadbare-Signal3 fills | No No No | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,938 | +$24 +0.3% | 20 |
| 261d |  The-Joker3 fills | Autopen / Auto Pen | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,845 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 |
| 261d |  bamesjond | Autopen / Auto Pen | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,196 | +$11 +0.5% | 20 |
| 261d |  DREAMBIG. | Autopen / Auto Pen | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | +$15 +1.2% | 20 |
| 261d | Trustinghorse6 fills | Six Seven | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,526 | +$38 +0.2% | 20 |
| 261d | pmdaer10w2.7 fills | Transgender | SellNo47¢ → 0¢ | $214,600 | +$215K +100% | — |
| 261d | pmdaer10w2.10 fills | Transgender | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $213,750 | −$214K −100% | 25 |
| 262d | pmdaer10w2.7 fills | Autopen / Auto Pen | SellNo47¢ → 0¢ | $257,439 | +$257K +100% | — |
| 262d | pmdaer10w2.7 fills | Autopen / Auto Pen | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $258,599 | −$259K −100% | 25 |
| 262d | gyhdfchd5 fills | Transgender | SellYes51¢ → 100¢ | $47,903 | −$46,055 −96% | — |
| 262d | gyhdfchd2 fills | Transgender | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $35,139 | +$32,196 +92% | 22 |
| 262d | jhvbkl | Transgender | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $12,445 | −$12,445 −100% | 23 |
| 262d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Hat | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,147 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 262d | Banana22 | Submarine / Helicopter | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,799 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 262d | Threadbare-Signal | MAGA / Make America Great Again | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,371 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 262d | Threadbare-Signal | Hat | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$19 +1.3% | 20 |
| 262d |  LadyLuck2 | Submarine / Helicopter | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,389 | +$28 +1.2% | 20 |
| 263d | Threadbare-Signal2 fills | Cuba / Cigar | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,613 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 263d | Michael5289 | Cuba / Cigar | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between February 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and February 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Autopen / Auto Pen means the market gives it about 100%.