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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| May | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| June | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| July | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| August or later | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 910d |  Apsalar | June | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$22 +2.1% | 4 |
| 912d | GianniCobra | April | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 5 |
| 932d |  ImJustKen | May | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $1,093 | −$1,093 −100% | 4 |
| 932d | ImJustKen | August or later | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$18 +1.7% | 4 |
| 935d | ImJustKen | April | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $2,092 | −$2,092 −100% | 4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for April means the market gives it about 100%.