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Polymarket wallet 0x904be1b4738e9892d421316fd55daf13a649c260 · on Polymarket since Mar 31, 2024 · also shown as Loud-Doughnut
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by May 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 305 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $305 | +$14 +4.9% |
| $DJT market cap between $10-$11b on April 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Trump convicted of felony before Election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 800 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$168 −100% |
| Will the Port of Baltimore reopen in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 917d | Fed rate cut by May 1? | SellYes2¢ | $4 |
| 926d | Fed rate cut by May 1? | BuyYes2¢ | $4 |
| 933d | $DJT market cap between $10-$11b on April 5? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 933d | Trump convicted of felony before Election? | BuyNo21¢ | $105 |
| 933d | Trump convicted of felony before Election? | BuyNo21¢ | $63 |
| 934d | Fed rate cut by May 1? | BuyNo95¢ | $16 |
| 934d | Fed rate cut by May 1? | BuyNo95¢ | $174 |
| 934d | Fed rate cut by May 1? | BuyNo96¢ | $48 |
| 934d | Fed rate cut by May 1? | BuyNo96¢ | $48 |
| 936d | Will the Port of Baltimore reopen in April? | BuyNo80¢ | $48 |
| 936d | Will Trump make bond by April 4? | BuyYes96¢ | $50 |
| 936d | Will Trump make bond by April 4? | BuyYes96¢ | $50 |
| 936d | More hostages in Gaza freed before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10 |
| 936d | Ukraine responsible for Moscow attack? | BuyNo>99¢ | $20 |
| 937d | Ukraine responsible for Moscow attack? | BuyNo99¢ | $100 |
| 937d | Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ | $5 |
| 937d | Fed rate cut by May 1? | BuyNo93¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.