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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 100% | +1 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Al-Hilal | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Al-Nassr | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bayern Munich | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manchester City | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arsenal | 0% | −1 pts | −39 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chelsea | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Team A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77d |  ZhangMuZhisDaddy | Real Madrid | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d |  C6H6 | Real Madrid | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,213 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d |  abhionpoly | Real Madrid | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,965 | +$16 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d | NeoOracle2 fills | Arsenal | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,957 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | Arsenal | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d | C6H6 | Arsenal | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,693 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d |  cryptojo | Arsenal | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,019 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d | cryptojo2 fills | Real Madrid | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,346 | +$44 +0.2% | 4 |
| 77d | piagopilva | Real Madrid | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,307 | +$44 +0.3% | 4 |
| 77d | Francisogah68 | Real Madrid | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 77d | Rocky0420 | Real Madrid | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,778 | −$11 −0.6% | — |
| 77d | Alexantenars1 | Arsenal | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,862 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
| 77d |  Promix95 | Arsenal | SellNo100¢ | $1,938 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 77d | Ambitious-Examination | Real Madrid | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 78d | Obey2162 | Real Madrid | SellYes100¢ | $1,333 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 78d | Sweet-Manufacturer | Real Madrid | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,945 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 78d |  VasiliSko4 fills | Arsenal | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,194 | +$48 +0.3% | 4 |
| 78d | SmilingFriends | Real Madrid | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 78d | Zealous-Drive | Arsenal | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,259 | −$20 −0.6% | — |
| 78d |  localguy | Real Madrid | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,141 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 78d | VasiliSko4 fills | Real Madrid | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,415 | +$45 +0.3% | 4 |
| 78d | Gladius7 | Real Madrid | SellYes>99¢ | $1,146 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 78d |  KVBA7 | Arsenal | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,329 | −$105 −1.7% | — |
| 78d |  DSvGndZzmaK11MrBm6sv7DBfe3SQ9SScCZ2DdTy8 | Arsenal | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,911 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 78d | momo513 | Real Madrid | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,758 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 78d | Unsteady-Quinoa10 fills | Real Madrid | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $22,685 | +$6,282 +28% | 4 |
| 78d |  afonsoo003 | Real Madrid | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | +$16 +1.4% | 4 |
| 78d |  BIGCATWIN | Real Madrid | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,965 | −$148 −7.5% | — |
| 78d | nonkenny90 | Real Madrid | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$66 +6.4% | 4 |
| 79d | leegunner | Real Madrid | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | +$297 +24% | 4 |
| 79d | waierma | Arsenal | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,964 | −$1,964 −100% | 4 |
| 79d |  LeeBong-James | Real Madrid | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | +$197 +17% | 4 |
| 79d | hitjnn214 | Real Madrid | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,526 | +$509 +33% | 4 |
| 79d |  Fuentes31 | Real Madrid | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,036 | −$1,036 −100% | 4 |
| 79d | LiquidityCrisisActor | Real Madrid | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$512 +48% | 4 |
| 79d | LiquidityCrisisActor | Real Madrid | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $2,435 | −$1,565 −64% | — |
| 80d |  testingmyangels69 | Real Madrid | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,053 +42% | 4 |
| 81d | Bogus-Headrest | Real Madrid | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,954 | −$750 −38% | — |
| 81d | KVBA7 | Arsenal | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $4,856 | +$1,573 +32% | 4 |
| 81d | nonkenny90 | Arsenal | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$450 +33% | 4 |
| 81d | Promix95 | Arsenal | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | +$473 +32% | 4 |
| 81d | Zealous-Drive | Arsenal | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | +$612 +47% | 4 |
| 82d | Maximumusil | Real Madrid | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$642 +64% | 4 |
| 83d | Alarming-South-Human2 fills | Arsenal | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $3,226 | +$1,455 +45% | 4 |
| 84d | Rocky0420 | Real Madrid | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | +$717 +67% | 4 |
| 84d |  crypto-basenji2 fills | Arsenal | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $2,393 | −$2,393 −100% | 4 |
| 84d | crypto-basenji2 fills | Real Madrid | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,342 | −$577 −25% | — |
| 84d | crypto-basenji2 fills | Real Madrid | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,873 | +$810 +28% | 4 |
| 85d | Bogus-Headrest | Real Madrid | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$381 +35% | 4 |
| 86d |  p12523 fills | Real Madrid | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $9,392 | +$2,874 +31% | 4 |
| 87d | KlausMeine | Real Madrid | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$608 +41% | 4 |
LiquidatedDegen12,849 shares
debased4,524 shares
ChrisBill4,010 shares
alpaje2,922 sharesThis market will resolve to the next team Vinicius Junior officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Vinicius Junior does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid". If Vinicius Junior joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Vinicius Junior is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Real Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Real Madrid means the market gives it about 100%.